Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: NESN, Bally Sports Detroit, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — FENWAY PARK
Temperature: 58–61°F at first pitch
Wind: 12–15 mph blowing out to right field — boosts left‑handed power
Humidity: 62%
Precipitation: <10% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Cool temps keep the ball from carrying to center
Wind out to right increases HR probability for left‑handed hitters
Fenway’s short left field still rewards right‑handed pull hitters
INJURY REPORT
Boston Red Sox
Rafael Devers (3B) — Probable, minor shoulder soreness
Triston Casas (1B) — Out, rib injury
Trevor Story (SS) — Out, elbow recovery
Kenley Jansen (CL) — Questionable, back tightness
Detroit Tigers
Spencer Torkelson (1B) — Probable, hand soreness
Kerry Carpenter (OF) — Questionable, hamstring tightness
Casey Mize (SP) — Out, elbow management
Alex Lange (RP) — Out, shoulder strain
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
Boston Red Sox (13–21)
Run Differential: -27
Home Record: 7–11
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense: 4.12 runs/game
Pitching: 4.89 ERA
Bullpen: 4.61 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
Detroit Tigers (18–17)
Run Differential: +4
Road Record: 8–9
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense: 4.31 runs/game
Pitching: 4.02 ERA
Bullpen: 3.78 ERA (top‑12 MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Boston Red Sox
Offense inconsistent: 3.9 runs/game over last 8
Rotation struggling to reach 6 innings
Bullpen taxed and unreliable
Devers and O’Neill carrying most of the production
Detroit Tigers
Offense improving: 4.7 runs/game over last 7
Pitching staff stabilizing despite injuries
Torkelson and Greene producing strong middle‑order numbers
Bullpen performing well in leverage spots
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Boston — Brayan Bello (RHP)
2026 Season: 2–4, 4.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Strengths: Sinker/changeup combo, ground‑ball generation
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to left‑handed power
Vs. Tigers: 3.86 career ERA
Detroit — Reese Olson (RHP)
2026 Season: 3–2, 3.41 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: Slider/fastball combo, excellent command
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. right‑handed hitters
Vs. Red Sox: First career start at Fenway
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Reese Olson (DET)
Devers crushes sliders left in the zone
Olson must avoid middle‑in locations Edge: Boston
2. Riley Greene (DET) vs. Brayan Bello (BOS)
Greene handles sinkers well
Bello must keep the ball down to avoid extra‑base damage Edge: Detroit
3. Spencer Torkelson (DET) vs. Fenway Dimensions
Torkelson’s opposite‑field power plays well in Boston Edge: Detroit
4. Tigers Bullpen vs. Red Sox Late‑Inning Offense
Detroit’s bullpen has been strong
Boston struggles in late‑inning leverage situations Edge: Detroit
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Red Sox lead 4–2
Last 10 Meetings: Boston leads 6–4
At Fenway Park: Boston has won 5 of last 7
Games often trend high‑scoring due to Fenway’s offensive environment.
BETTING TRENDS
Boston Red Sox
3–7 in last 10 home games
Over is 5–2 in last 7
2–6 in last 8 vs. AL Central
Detroit Tigers
6–3 in last 9 road games
Under is 4–2 in last 6
5–2 in last 7 vs. teams below .500
GAME ODDS
Boston Red Sox 7
Detroit Tigers – 240
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
