First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET
Probable Pitchers:
- BAL — Chris Bassitt (RHP)
- WSH — Cade Cavalli (RHP)
VENUE — NATIONALS PARK
- Location: Washington, D.C. (Navy Yard)
- Dimensions: 336 LF, 377 LCF, 402 CF, 370 RCF, 335 RF
- Park Factors: Slightly hitter‑friendly for LHB; neutral for RHB
- Surface: Natural grass
- Weather impact: Wind blowing out to right can boost left‑handed power
WEATHER FORECAST (WASHINGTON, D.C.)
- Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
- Sky: Mostly clear
- Humidity: 52%
- Wind: 8–11 mph blowing out to right field
- Chance of Rain: <5%
- Expected Conditions: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for LHB with lift
INJURY REPORT
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
- Adley Rutschman — Probable (rest day Friday, expected to start)
- Gunnar Henderson — OUT (quad strain)
- Cedric Mullins — Day‑to‑day (hip tightness)
- Kyle Bradish — OUT (elbow rehab)
- John Means — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
- CJ Abrams — Probable (ankle soreness)
- Lane Thomas — OUT (oblique strain)
- Josiah Gray — OUT (forearm strain)
- Hunter Harvey — Day‑to‑day (shoulder fatigue)
- Victor Robles — OUT (hamstring)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
BALTIMORE ORIOLES (20–25)
- Last 10 games: 4–6
- Road record: 9–13
- Run differential: –12
- Strengths: Middle‑order power, veteran pitching depth
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent bullpen, missing key bats (Henderson)
WASHINGTON NATIONALS (22–23)
- Last 10 games: 6–4
- Home record: 12–10
- Run differential: +6
- Strengths: Young lineup speed, improving rotation
- Weaknesses: Bullpen instability, lack of power without Lane Thomas
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
BAL — CHRIS BASSITT (RHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 3–4
- ERA: 4.02
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/BB: 41/13
- Last 3 starts: 17.2 IP, 8 ER, 14 K, 5 BB
Pitch Mix
- Sinker (92)
- Cutter (89)
- Slider (82)
- Curveball (73)
- Changeup (84)
Matchup Notes
- Nationals struggle vs cutters and slow breaking balls
- Bassitt’s command is key — when he’s locating, he’s tough
- Washington’s RH‑heavy lineup plays into his strengths
- Key risk: If his sinker flattens, Nats’ contact hitters can string rallies
WSH — CADE CAVALLI (RHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 2–2
- ERA: 3.71
- WHIP: 1.22
- K/BB: 39/15
- Last 3 starts: 16.1 IP, 7 ER, 18 K
Pitch Mix
- Four‑seam (97)
- Curveball (82)
- Slider (86)
- Changeup (88)
Matchup Notes
- Orioles’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, which Cavalli handles well
- His curveball is a legitimate out pitch
- Baltimore’s power bats (Mountcastle, Santander) feast on elevated fastballs
- Key risk: Cavalli’s command can disappear for stretches
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Ryan Mountcastle vs Cade Cavalli
- Mountcastle crushes high‑velo RHP
- Cavalli must keep the fastball down
- HR threat every AB
2. Adley Rutschman vs Nationals’ bullpen
- Washington’s middle relief is shaky
- Rutschman’s OBP skills could tilt late innings
3. CJ Abrams vs Chris Bassitt
- Abrams’ speed is a major factor
- Bassitt struggles controlling the running game
- If Abrams reaches, he changes the inning
4. Joey Meneses vs Bassitt’s sinker
- Meneses hits low pitches well
- Could be a multi‑hit night if Bassitt isn’t sharp
SERIES HISTORY
- 2025 season series: Split 2–2
- At Nationals Park: Orioles have won 5 of last 8
- Last 10 meetings: Orioles 6 – Nationals 4
- Games tend to be low‑scoring early, offense late
- Unders hit in 7 of last 11 matchups
BETTING TRENDS
BALTIMORE
- 3–7 in last 10 road games
- 2–5 in Bassitt’s last 7 starts
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 games
WASHINGTON
- 5–1 in last 6 home games
- 4–1 in Cavalli’s last 5 starts
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 home games
HEAD‑TO‑HEAD
- Orioles 6–4 last 10
- Under 7–4 last 11
- Road team 4–1 last 5
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 10
Washington Nationals – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026
