First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot park — Miami, Florida
WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS
Roof: Expected closed (standard for Miami humidity).
Outside: ~76–82°F, light winds 5 mph NNE.
Impact: Neutral hitting environment; roof closure suppresses HR carry.
INJURY REPORT
Baltimore Orioles
Jordan Westburg — 60‑Day IL (UCL)
Heston Kjerstad — 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
Jackson Holliday — 10‑Day IL (finger)
Ryan Helsley — 15‑Day IL (elbow)
Trevor Rogers — 15‑Day IL (illness)
Dean Kremer — 15‑Day IL (quad)
Félix Bautista — 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Zach Eflin — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Ryan Mountcastle — 60‑Day IL (foot)
Miami Marlins
Pete Fairbanks — 15‑Day IL (thumb)
Ronny Henriquez — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Adam Mazur — 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Griffin Conine — 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Baltimore — RHP Chris Bassitt (2–2, 5.46 ERA, 1.86 WHIP)
17 strikeouts, 14 walks in 28 IP.
Struggling with command; Orioles’ staff ERA ranks 27th (4.76).
Miami — RHP Sandy Alcantara (3–2, 3.04 ERA, 1.16 WHIP)
31 strikeouts in 47.1 IP.
Marlins are 5–1 when hitting 2+ HRs, often with Alcantara deep into games.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Baltimore Orioles (15–20)
Road: 6–11
Last 10: 3–7
Last 10 ERA: 7.43, outscored by 37 runs
Offense: .241 AVG last 10
Miami Marlins (16–19)
Home: 11–9
Last 10: 4–6
Team ERA last 10: 3.82
Offense: .236 AVG last 10
SERIES HISTORY & CONTEXT
First meeting of the 2026 season.
Marlins enter after a tight 1–0 loss to Philadelphia; Orioles enter after being swept and outscored heavily by the Yankees.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Taylor Ward (BAL) vs. Sandy Alcantara
Ward leads Baltimore with 13 doubles; his ability to handle Alcantara’s sinker/slider mix is crucial.
2. Liam Hicks (MIA) vs. Chris Bassitt
Hicks has 7 HR and 29 RBI; Bassitt has allowed 38 hits in 28 IP. Advantage Miami.
3. Samuel Basallo (BAL) vs. Marlins bullpen
Basallo is 12‑for‑34 with 3 doubles and 2 HR in last 10 — Baltimore’s hottest bat.
BETTING TRENDS
Baltimore
1–4 in last 5
6–3 when hitting 2+ HRs
Bullpen save rate: 76.9%
Miami
5–1 when hitting 2+ HRs
11–9 at home
Better pitching form entering matchup
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Miami Marlins – 131
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 4, 2026
