Petco Park, San Diego, CA
First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET
Probables: ATL — Grant Holmes (RHP) vs SD — Michael King (RHP)
VENUE: PETCO PARK
Location: 100 Park Blvd., San Diego, CA
Dimensions: 336 LF, 396 CF, 322 RF
Park Factors:
One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks
Suppresses HRs, especially to center
Boosts doubles/triples in the gaps
Surface: Grass
Petco Park is a run‑suppressing environment, especially at night — a meaningful factor with two pitchers who rely on command and sequencing.
WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)
Temperature: 72°F at first pitch
Wind: 7–10 mph in from left‑center
Humidity: 68%
Chance of Rain: <5%
Impact: Pitcher‑friendly — marine air + wind in reduces carry
INJURY REPORT
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. — OUT (ACL recovery)
Austin Riley — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)
Ozzie Albies — ACTIVE (wrist soreness, probable)
Spencer Strider — OUT (elbow)
A.J. Minter — OUT (shoulder)
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. — ACTIVE (ankle soreness, expected to play)
Xander Bogaerts — OUT (wrist)
Yu Darvish — OUT (triceps)
Robert Suarez — ACTIVE (available)
Luis Campusano — OUT (thumb)
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
Grant Holmes — RHP, Braves
2026 Season:
Record: 4–2
ERA: 3.84
WHIP: 1.26
K/BB: 58/19
Last 5 Starts: 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
Sinker/slider profile with improving command
Padres rank middle‑of‑the‑pack vs RHP
Holmes induces ground balls — ideal for Petco Park
Vulnerable to left‑handed bats — Cronenworth, Mazara, Merrill key threats
Matchup Edge: Moderate
Michael King — RHP, Padres
2026 Season:
Record: 6–5
ERA: 3.58
WHIP: 1.18
K/BB: 92/27
Last 5 Starts: 3.12 ERA, 1.10 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
Elite sweeper + high‑spin fastball
Braves rank top‑5 vs RHP in OPS
King thrives at Petco (career ERA under 3.00 at home)
Atlanta’s right‑handed power (Olson, Riley, Ozuna) is a tough matchup
Matchup Edge: Slight disadvantage
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Atlanta Braves (48–28)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 22–15
Run Differential: +72
Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense still elite
Strength: Deep lineup, elite bullpen
Weakness: Missing Acuña reduces speed + top‑of‑order pressure
San Diego Padres (39–37)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 20–18
Run Differential: +14
Trend: Pitching strong, offense inconsistent
Strength: Rotation depth + bullpen
Weakness: Middle‑order depth without Bogaerts
SERIES HISTORY
2024–2026 Combined: Braves lead 11–7
At Petco Park: Braves have won 4 of last 6
Holmes vs Padres: First career start
King vs Braves: 3.75 ERA in 3 career starts
BETTING TRENDS
Atlanta
8–3 in last 11 games
Under is 6–2 in last 8
Braves RL has hit in 5 of last 7
San Diego
6–3 in last 9 home games
Under is 7–3 in last 10 at Petco
King starts: Padres are 8–5
Head‑to‑Head
Under has hit in 5 of last 7
Braves have covered RL in 4 of last 6
Game Odds
Atlanta Braves 7.5
San Diego Padres – 105
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026
