First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET
Venue: PETCO Park, 100 Park Blvd, San Diego, CA
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Broadcast: Bally Sports San Diego / Arizona Sports Network
Weather Report — San Diego, CA
PETCO Park is one of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly environments.
Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
Humidity: 65–70%
Wind: 7–11 mph blowing in from right‑center
Marine Layer: Likely after sunset, reducing ball carry
Weather Impact:
Favors pitchers
Suppresses home runs, especially to center and opposite field
Line drives still play well in gaps
Probable Pitchers
ARI — RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Record: 5–7
ERA: 4.31
WHIP: 1.28
K/BB: Strong strikeout rate, improving command
Pitch Mix:
94–96 mph fastball
Sweeping slider
Changeup for lefties
Strengths: Misses bats, good road composure
Weaknesses: Home run susceptibility when slider backs up
Matchup Note: Padres’ right‑handed core (Machado, Bogaerts) handles velocity well
SD — RHP Walker Buehler
Record: 7–4
ERA: 3.22
WHIP: 1.11
K/BB: Elite command, high‑end strikeout ability
Pitch Mix:
96–98 mph fastball
Cutter
Curveball
Slider
Strengths: Dominant at PETCO Park; elite vs right‑handed hitters
Weaknesses: Occasional trouble vs left‑handed power
Matchup Note: D‑backs’ left‑handed bats (Marte, Carroll) are key threats
Team Records & Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks (44–45)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 22–23
Runs/Game: 4.58
Team ERA: 4.39
Trend: Inconsistent but competitive; offense streaky
Season Arc: Hovering around .500, fighting for Wild Card position
San Diego Padres (44–45)
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 23–20
Runs/Game: 4.66
Team ERA: 3.91
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; lineup improving
Season Arc: Also stuck around .500, but trending upward
Injury Report
Diamondbacks
Corbin Carroll — Day‑to‑day (shoulder)
One bullpen arm on IL
Lineup mostly intact
Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
One reliever on IL
Core rotation healthy
Key Player Matchups
D‑backs Offense vs Walker Buehler
Ketel Marte: .285, 17 HR — best left‑handed matchup vs Buehler
Corbin Carroll: Speed + line‑drive profile plays well at PETCO
Christian Walker: .260, 18 HR — power threat but struggles vs elite velocity
Edge: Buehler — PETCO + elite command suppresses ARI’s power.
Padres Offense vs Brandon Pfaadt
Manny Machado: .275, 16 HR — crushes sliders left over the plate
Xander Bogaerts: .280, gap‑to‑gap hitter, strong vs fastballs
Luis Campusano: .265, emerging power vs RHP
Edge: Padres — Pfaadt’s HR issues vs SD’s right‑handed core is a concern.
Series History
Season series: Padres lead 3–2
Padres have won 7 of last 11 vs Arizona
At PETCO Park: Padres have won 6 of last 8
Last meeting: SD 5, ARI 3
This matchup has leaned Padres in recent seasons, especially at home.
Betting Trends
Diamondbacks
5–5 last 10
2–4 last 6 road games
Overs hit in 6 of last 10
Underdog in most road games
Padres
6–4 last 10
5–2 last 7 home games
Unders hit in 7 of last 10 (pitching surge + PETCO effect)
Favorites in most home games
Head‑to‑Head
Unders hit in 4 of last 6 meetings
Padres have covered run line in 3 of last 5
Game Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks 9
San Diego Padres – 108
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 5, 2026
