Horse Race Preview: Race 5 – Lyman and Bradley Rollins Stakes at Turf Paradise

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Venue: Turf Paradise — Phoenix, Arizona

Scheduled Post Time: 4:15 PM local time (Race 5 listed at 16:15)

Surface/Distance: 6 furlongs (1207m),

Dirt Purse: $30,000 (IrishRacing purse structure)

Eligibility: 3‑year‑olds & up

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

Phoenix in late April is typically warm (75–85°F), dry, and clear, with extremely low rain probability. Racenet lists “overcast clouds” for the meeting but no moisture‑related track downgrade, so the dirt should remain FAST.

Full Field Analysis (5 Declared Runners)

PP 1 — Ez Iz Onzaway

Trainer: Kevin Eikleberry

Jockey: Carlos Montalvo

Rating: 92

Recent Finishes: 1322×213 (100% in‑the‑money this campaign)

Morning Line Context: Strong contender; likely second or third choice Analysis: Exceptionally consistent gelding with a perfect in‑the‑money record this prep. Excellent Turf Paradise stats and a reliable closing kick. Needs pace up front but always fires. A must‑use in exactas.

PP 2 — Silverbullitbadger

Trainer: Robertino Diodoro

Jockey: Daniel Vergara

Rating: 98 (second‑highest in field)

Recent Finishes: 4x747x1122 (two wins + two seconds last four)

Morning Line Context: Solid win threat; likely 3rd choice Analysis: Veteran gelding in sharp form. Diodoro is a top trainer at this meet, and this horse has been ultra‑consistent. Tactical speed gives him options. A major player for the trifecta.

PP 3 — Katar

Trainer: Robertino Diodoro

Jockey: Orlando Mojica

Rating: 99 (highest in field)

Recent Finishes: 16x13744x1 (last‑out winner)

Morning Line Context: Likely favorite Analysis: Track specialist with 10 wins from 20 starts and a massive 50% win rate. IrishRacing notes he “won impressively last time out and looks the one to beat.” He has the class edge, top speed figures, and top connections. The horse to beat.

PP 4 — Code Five

Trainer: Robertino Diodoro

Jockey: Frank Alvarado

Rating: 84

Recent Finishes: 45x21466x4 (4th last out)

Morning Line Context: Mid‑price exotics horse Analysis: Not as sharp as stablemates Katar and Silverbullitbadger, but still a capable runner with tactical speed. Needs a perfect trip to win but fits underneath.

PP 5 — Renew

Trainer: Akifumi Kato

Jockey: Alex Cruz

Rating: 85

Recent Finishes: 24x685x522 (back‑to‑back seconds)

Morning Line Context: Longshot with upside Analysis: Comes in off two strong runner‑up finishes, including a quick turnaround (ran 5 days prior). Reliable grinder but lacks the top‑end speed of the Diodoro trio. Could hit the board at a price.