Horse Race Preview: Race 4 – Grade III Fort Marcy Stakes at Belmont at the Big A

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Track: Belmont at the Big A (Aqueduct Racetrack) — Ozone Park, Queens, NY

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026

Scheduled Post Time: 2:28 PM ET

Distance: 1 1/8 miles (Turf)

Purse: $175,000

Rail Setting: 18 feet

Expected Weather & Track Conditions

While no race‑day forecast is provided in entries, early May in New York typically brings 60–70°F temperatures, light winds, and low precipitation. Turf conditions are most likely firm, barring unexpected showers.

Full Field Analysis (Post Positions, Connections, Odds, Form)

All data sourced from official entries.

1 — Ridari (FR)

ML Odds: 2/1

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer: Miguel Clement

Weight: 124

Pedigree: Churchill (IRE) – Ridasiyna (FR)

Profile: A lightly raced but high‑quality French‑bred colt with strong late kick. Clement excels with turf routers, and Ridari’s pedigree screams stamina. Expect him to sit mid‑pack and launch late.

2 — Battle of Normandy

ML Odds: 6/1

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III

Weight: 120

Pedigree: City of Light – Adorable Miss

Profile: A seasoned 6‑year‑old with tactical speed. McGaughey’s turf runners are consistent, and this horse often fires fresh. A logical exotics contender.

3 — Montador

ML Odds: 9/2

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Trainer: Michael Stidham

Weight: 122

Pedigree: Nyquist – Lady Montdore

Profile: Stakes‑winning 4‑year‑old who captured the Woodchopper Stakes previously. Improving type with a strong finishing punch. Lezcano fits him well.

4 — Uncatalyzed (GB)

ML Odds: 5/1

Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.

Trainer: Chad C. Brown

Weight: 120

Pedigree: Kingman (GB) – Queen’s Code (IRE)

Profile: Brown is lethal in NY turf stakes. This colt has elite European bloodlines and should relish the distance. A major win threat if pace is honest.

5 — Deterministic

ML Odds: 6/5 (Morning‑line favorite)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: Miguel Clement

Weight: 124

Pedigree: Liam’s Map – Giulio’s Jewel

Profile: The class of the field. Deterministic won the 2025 Fort Marcy (G2) and returns to defend his title. Versatile running style and proven over this course. The horse to beat.

Also Eligibles (Main Track Only)

These runners draw in only if the race is moved off turf.

6 — Yo Daddy

ML Odds: 1/1

Trainer: Linda Rice

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Profile: Strong dirt form; unlikely to run unless surface changes.

7 — Dr. Kraft

ML Odds: 9/2

Trainer: Ilkay Kantarmaci

Jockey: Silvestre Gonzalez

8 — Mr. Papagiorgio

ML Odds: 6/1

Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.

Jockey: TBA