Venue: Saratoga Race Course — Saratoga Springs, New York
Scheduled Post Time: 6:25 PM ET
Surface: Dirt
Distance: 1 1/8 miles
Purse: $500,000
Eligibility: Fillies & Mares, 4‑years‑old and up
The Ogden Phipps Stakes is one of the premier older‑mare dirt routes in North America, historically producing champions and Breeders’ Cup Distaff contenders. With Saratoga hosting the Belmont Festival in 2026, this race is a Friday headliner.
Expected Weather & Track Conditions (Saratoga Springs):
Temperature: 72–77°F
Conditions: Mostly sunny
Rain Chance: <10%
Wind: 6–10 mph WNW
Projected Track Condition: Fast
A fast Saratoga main track typically rewards tactical speed and stamina‑based cruising speed at 1 1/8 miles.
FULL FIELD ANALYSIS — 2026 OGDEN PHIPPS STAKES
Post 1 — Fully Subscribed
ML Odds: 5/2 Trainer: Chad C. Brown Jockey: Flavien Prat Owner: Klaravich Stables Weight: 122 lbs Pedigree: Tiz the Law – Sweetbaby
Recent Form (from sourced entries)
Consistent graded‑stakes performer; enters in strong form (inferred from placement as co‑favorite).
Analysis
A powerful, improving filly from the Brown/Prat/Klaravich pipeline. She has tactical speed, a strong finishing punch, and a pedigree built for 1 1/8 miles. The rail draw allows Prat to secure a ground‑saving stalking trip. She’s one of the most reliable runners in the field.
Win Threat: Very high Key Question: Can she outfinish Nitrogen late?
Post 2 — Regaled
ML Odds: 5/1 Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos Owner: Ribble Farms & Front Page Equestrian Weight: 122 lbs Pedigree: Mohaymen – Ascot Walk
Recent Form
Competitive in allowance and listed stakes company (per entry context).
Analysis
A tough, consistent mare who often outruns her odds. She lacks the explosive turn of foot of the favorites but makes up for it with grit and stamina. Ramos will likely place her mid‑pack and hope for a sustained drive.
Win Threat: Moderate Key Question: Does she have the raw speed to match the top two?
Post 3 — Alpine Princess
ML Odds: 4/1 Trainer: Brad H. Cox Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. Owner: Full of Run Racing & Madaket Stables Weight: 122 lbs Pedigree: Classic Empire – Le Moine
Recent Form
Winner of the GII Doubledogdare at Keeneland.
Consistent graded‑stakes performer.
Analysis
A high‑class mare with tactical speed and a strong finishing kick. Irad is lethal on the Saratoga dirt, and Cox ships with intent. She’s fast enough to sit just behind the leaders and pounce turning for home. A major win candidate.
Win Threat: High Key Question: Can she match Nitrogen’s sustained pace?
Post 4 — Cassiar
ML Odds: 15/1 Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III Jockey: Dylan Davis Owner: Lane’s End Weight: 120 lbs Pedigree: City of Light – Nellie Cashman Equipment Change: Blinkers On
Recent Form
Lightly raced; improving (inferred from entry notes).
Analysis
A longshot with upside. The blinkers‑on move signals intent to sharpen early speed. McGaughey’s runners often improve with maturity, but she’ll need a career‑best effort to contend with this Grade I field.
Win Threat: Low Key Question: Can the blinkers help her stay competitive early?
Post 5 — Nitrogen
ML Odds: 7/5 (Morning‑Line Favorite) Trainer: Mark E. Casse Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz Owner: D. J. Stable Weight: 124 lbs Pedigree: Medaglia d’Oro – Tiffany Case
Recent Form
Multiple Grade I performances, including Apple Blossom and Azeri Stakes campaigns.
Known for consistency and elite class.
Analysis
The class of the field. Nitrogen is a champion‑level mare with elite cruising speed and the ability to sustain a long drive. She’s battle‑tested against the best older mares in the country. Jose Ortiz fits her perfectly, and the 1 1/8‑mile distance is ideal.
Win Threat: Extremely high Key Question: Does she get pressured early by Alpine Princess or Fully Subscribed?
Post 6 — Bless the Broken
ML Odds: 6/1 Trainer: Brad H. Cox Jockey: Florent Geroux Owner: Qatar Racing, Mountmellick Farm & Fergus Galvin Weight: 120 lbs Pedigree: Laoban – The Nightingale
Recent Form
Competitive in graded‑stakes company (per entries).
Analysis
A talented filly with tactical speed and strong finishing ability. She’s not quite as proven as Alpine Princess, but Cox wouldn’t enter her unless she belonged. Geroux is excellent at rationing speed, and she could sit a perfect stalking trip.
Win Threat: Moderate Key Question: Can she take a step forward against Grade I competition?
PACE PROJECTION
Likely Leader: Cassiar (blinkers on) Pressers: Nitrogen, Alpine Princess Stalkers: Fully Subscribed, Bless the Broken Closers: Regaled
Expected fractions: 23.1 – 46.8 – 1:11.4
A moderate but honest pace favors tactical stalkers like Fully Subscribed and Alpine Princess.
POWER RANKINGS (Projected)
Nitrogen — Class edge, perfect distance
Fully Subscribed — Ideal trip, Brown/Prat combo
Alpine Princess — Major threat with Irad
Bless the Broken — Improving Cox runner
Regaled — Honest mare, exotics chance
Cassiar — Needs a big leap forward
