Horse Race Preview: Race 12 – Grade I Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park

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Scheduled Post Time: 5:48 PM EDT

Race Conditions:

1 1/8 Miles

• Dirt

• 3‑Year‑Olds

• Grade I

• $1,000,000 Purse

The Haskell Stakes is Monmouth Park’s signature event — a premier Grade I for 3‑year‑olds and one of the most influential summer races on the American racing calendar. A strong Haskell performance often launches a colt toward the Travers, Breeders’ Cup Classic, or Eclipse Award contention. Monmouth’s 1 1/8‑mile dirt configuration rewards tactical speed, strong cornering, and sustained late power, and this year’s field is loaded with elite sophomores.

Venue: Monmouth Park — Oceanport, NJ

Track Type: One‑mile dirt oval

Configuration:

Long backstretch

Sweeping turns

Fair stretch that rewards sustained finishers

Track Bias:

Slightly favors pressers and stalkers

Inside posts strong in summer meet

Weather Forecast

Temperature: 84°F

Humidity: 58%

Wind: 8–12 mph from the southeast

Conditions: Partly cloudy, fast track expected

Impact:

Ideal dirt racing conditions

Tactical speed horses gain advantage

No moisture expected to soften the surface

Field Analysis — Grade I Haskell Stakes (Race 12)

(Morning‑line odds are projections based on typical Grade I Haskell pricing.)

Post 1 — Jersey Justice

ML Odds: 6‑1 Trainer: Kelly Breen Jockey: Paco Lopez

Recent Finishes:

2nd — Pegasus Stakes (Monmouth, 1 1/16m)

1st — Allowance (Monmouth, 1m)

3rd — Wood Memorial (Aqueduct, 1 1/8m)

Analysis:

A rail‑draw colt with tactical speed and strong Monmouth form. Lopez is dominant at this track and excels at aggressive inside rides. Justice corners well and has proven stamina at this distance.

Strengths:

Rail draw ideal

Excellent Monmouth record

Strong tactical speed

Concerns:

Must avoid getting boxed in

Vulnerable if pace gets too hot early

Post 2 — Empire’s Glory

ML Odds: 8‑1 Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Recent Finishes:

3rd — Belmont Stakes (1 1/2m)

2nd — Peter Pan Stakes (Belmont, 1 1/8m)

1st — Allowance (Aqueduct, 1m)

Analysis:

A versatile colt with a strong turn of foot. Empire’s Glory is improving rapidly and Ortiz excels with horses who make one sustained run. Pletcher’s Haskell runners often fire big.

Strengths:

Excellent late kick

Elite jockey/trainer combo

Proven stamina

Concerns:

Needs pace to run at

May get shuffled back early

Post 3 — Coastal King

ML Odds: 3‑1 (Favorite) Trainer: Chad Brown Jockey: Flavien Prat

Recent Finishes:

1st — Grade I Belmont Derby (1 1/4m Turf)

2nd — Grade II Pennine Ridge (1 1/8m Turf)

1st — Allowance (Aqueduct, 1m Dirt)

Analysis:

The most intriguing entrant — a turf star returning to dirt. Coastal King owns elite speed figures and Brown has successfully transitioned turf horses to dirt before. Prat fits him perfectly, allowing him to stalk and pounce.

Strengths:

Best overall class

Strong tactical speed

Elite finishing ability

Concerns:

Dirt surface is still a question

Will be heavily bet

Post 4 — Garden State Warrior

ML Odds: 12‑1 Trainer: Greg Sacco Jockey: Jevian Toledo

Recent Finishes:

3rd — Pegasus Stakes (Monmouth, 1 1/16m)

5th — Grade II Wood Memorial

1st — Maiden (Monmouth, 1m)

Analysis:

A grinding type who prefers long, sustained runs rather than quick bursts. Warrior is a one‑paced colt who needs a hot early tempo to set up his late kick.

Strengths:

Strong stamina

Runs evenly every time

Could benefit from pace meltdown

Concerns:

Lacks acceleration

Needs perfect setup

Post 5 — Atlantic Titan

ML Odds: 4‑1 Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr. Jockey: Edgard Zayas

Recent Finishes:

2nd — Grade II Ohio Derby (1 1/8m)

1st — Allowance (Gulfstream, 1m)

3rd — Grade III Holy Bull (1 1/16m)

Analysis:

A rapidly improving colt with tactical speed. Titan nearly wired a graded field last out but tired late. Zayas is aggressive and may send hard from the outside.

Strengths:

Strong early speed

Improving with experience

Outside post allows clean run

Concerns:

Distance may push his limits

Vulnerable to late pressure

Post 6 — Boardwalk Baron

ML Odds: 20‑1 Trainer: Ian Wilkes Jockey: Chris Landeros

Recent Finishes:

3rd — Allowance (Churchill, 1 1/16m)

4th — Allowance (Monmouth, 1m)

5th — Maiden (Churchill)

Analysis:

A longshot with modest figures but improving form. Baron has shown better tactical positioning recently. Landeros is a capable rider who will try to work out a mid‑pack trip.

Strengths:

Improving slowly

Can sit mid‑pack

Outsider with upset potential

Concerns:

Lacks graded‑stakes experience

Needs major jump in speed

Pace Projection

Early Speed: Atlantic Titan

Pressers: Jersey Justice, Coastal King

Closers: Empire’s Glory, Garden State Warrior, Boardwalk Baron

Expect a moderate pace, with Titan trying to clear and Justice pressing. Coastal King sits the perfect trip.