Horse Race Preview: Grade II Wise Dan Stakes at Churchill Downs

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2025 Wise Dan Stakes (G2T) – Race Preview & Analysis

Date: June 28, 2025
Track: Churchill Downs
Race: Race 10
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Purse: $500,000
Eligibility: 4-Year-Olds & Up
Post Time: 5:31 PM ET

Contenders Breakdown

1. Henro

Pedigree: CollectedStreet Minstrel

Trainer: Chris A. Hartman

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano

Form: 841-487

Analysis: Lightly raced 4YO gelding with tactical speed. Finished 7th in the St. Matthews Stakes and may be overmatched here. Needs a pace meltdown to contend.

2. Lagynos

Pedigree: KantharosSteamy

Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Form: 511-323

Analysis: Consistent 4YO colt who was a close third in the G3 Arlington Stakes. Kantharos adds turf brilliance. Prat’s presence boosts appeal.

3. Mi Hermano Ramon

Pedigree: Creative CauseSassy Suances

Trainer: Mark Glatt

Jockey: Antonio Fresu

Form: 212-452

Analysis: Runner-up in the G1 Shoemaker Mile, just a neck behind King of Gosford. Brings top-class form and could be peaking at the right time.

4. Mercante

Pedigree: Gun RunnerCaressing

Trainer: Brian Knippenberg

Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos

Form: 1-81121

Analysis: Winner of the G3 Arlington Stakes, outdueling Brilliant Berti. Gun Runner adds stamina and class. A serious win contender.

5. Event Detail

Pedigree: City of LightBreaking Beauty

Trainer: William Walden

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Form: 862-124

Analysis: Fourth in the Arlington Stakes. City of Light is a rising turf influence. Ortiz could work out a trip, but needs to step forward.

6. Taking Candy

Pedigree: Twirling CandyTaking Aim

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Form: 2/123-10

Analysis: Finished 10th in the G1 Turf Classic. Has back class but may be tailing off. Twirling Candy is a top turf sire, so don’t dismiss entirely.

7. Brilliant Berti

Pedigree: Noble Mission (GB)Believe in Bertie

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux

Jockey: Brian J. Hernandez Jr.

Form: 211-812

Analysis: Narrowly beaten by Mercante in the Arlington. Undefeated at Churchill before that. Noble Mission adds turf stamina. Dangerous if he gets the jump.

8. Fort Washington

Pedigree: War FrontAzaelia (FR)

Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Form: 432-511

Analysis: Comes in off back-to-back wins, including the G3 Dinner Party. War Front is a turf titan. Top-tier connections and form make him the one to beat.

9. Seminole Chief

Pedigree: GirvinSecret Song

Trainer: Jack Sisterson

Jockey: Luis Saez

Form: 15-3119

Analysis: Faded to 9th in the Shoemaker Mile. Has talent but may be outclassed here. Needs a perfect trip and pace collapse.

Top Picks:

Win Contender: Fort Washington – sharp form, elite pedigree, top barn

Main Rival: Mercante – Arlington winner with tactical speed

Value Play: Mi Hermano Ramon – G1-placed and improving

Exacta Box: Fort Washington, Mercante, Mi Hermano Ramon
Trifecta Add-On: Brilliant Berti – Churchill specialist with upside