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Horse Race Preview: Fancy As Overnight Stakes at Assiniboia Downs

Race Details

  • Event: Fancy As Overnight Stakes
  • Date: Wednesday, June 4, 2025
  • Venue: Assiniboia Downs, Winnipeg, Manitoba
  • Distance: 5 furlongs (1100 yards)
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Purse: $24,000 (Winner: $15,120, 2nd: $4,800, 3rd: $2,400, 4th: $1,680)

Race Overview

The Fancy As Overnight Stakes at Assiniboia Downs is set to feature four competitive runners, each bringing unique strengths to the track. With a short sprint distance of five furlongs, speed and early positioning will be crucial in determining the winner.

Horses, Jockeys & Trainers

1. Shocking Malice (USA)

  • Trainer: Lise Pruitt
  • Jockey: Renaldo Cumberbatch
  • Age: 3
  • Weight: 8-5
  • Official Rating: 78
  • Recent Form: 1st place in last race (May 2025, Assiniboia Downs, 5f)
  • Pedigree: Sired by Malice Intent, known for producing sprinters with strong closing speed.

Analysis: Shocking Malice enters the race with momentum, having secured a win in its last outing. The horse demonstrated early speed and resilience, holding off challengers in the stretch. With Renaldo Cumberbatch aboard, expect a strong break from the gate and a push for the lead early.

2. Coal Boy (USA)

  • Trainer: Wendy Anderson
  • Jockey: Damario Bynoe
  • Age: 3
  • Weight: 8-5
  • Official Rating: 65
  • Recent Form: 7th place in last race (Century Mile, 6f, September 2024)
  • Pedigree: Sired by Coal Front, known for producing powerful dirt sprinters.

Analysis: Coal Boy has struggled in recent outings, finishing well off the pace in its last race. However, the horse has shown flashes of speed in past performances. With Damario Bynoe in the saddle, expect a mid-pack positioning with a late attempt to close.

3. War Echo (USA)

  • Trainer: Michael Nault
  • Jockey: Prayven Badrie
  • Age: 3
  • Weight: 8-5
  • Official Rating: 60
  • Recent Form: 1st place in last race (May 2025, Assiniboia Downs, 5f)
  • Pedigree: Sired by War Front, known for producing elite sprinters and turf specialists.

Analysis: War Echo enters the race off a victory, showcasing lone speed and strong stamina. The horse held well in the stretch, proving its ability to maintain pace under pressure. With Prayven Badrie aboard, expect a front-running strategy to challenge for the lead early.

4. Just Trust Me (USA)

  • Trainer: Dewey Williams
  • Jockey: Antonio Whitehall
  • Age: 3
  • Weight: 8-10
  • Official Rating: 90
  • Recent Form: 1st place in last race (April 2025, Turf Paradise, 7f)
  • Pedigree: Sired by Justify, known for producing strong dirt runners with stamina.

Analysis: Just Trust Me is the clear favorite, boasting a 90 rating and a dominant win at Turf Paradise. The horse has versatility, excelling at longer distances but also showing speed in sprints. With Antonio Whitehall riding, expect a powerful late surge if positioned well early.

Race Prediction & Betting Insights

  • Projected Winner: Just Trust Me – Strong pedigree, top rating, and recent form suggest a dominant performance.
  • Best Value Bet: War Echo – Coming off a win, could challenge for the lead early.
  • Dark Horse: Shocking Malice – Has the speed to surprise if it breaks well.

Final Prediction

Expect a fast-paced sprint, with Just Trust Me likely to control the race late. War Echo and Shocking Malice will push early, but Just Trust Me’s stamina and closing speed should secure the victory.

Projected Finish:

  1. Just Trust Me
  2. War Echo
  3. Shocking Malice
  4. Coal Boy
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