FCS-CFB Game Preview: Dayton Flyers (3-1) vs. Morehead State Eagles (2-3)

0
64

Time: 1:00 PM ET – ESPN+
Venue: Jayne Stadium, 150 University Boulevard, Morehead, KY 40351
Capacity: 10,000

Weather Forecast (Morehead, KY)

Kickoff: 73–76°F, mostly clear

Rain Chance: 2%

Wind: SSE 2–3 mph

Impact: Ideal football weather; no disruptions expected

Injury Report

Dayton: No reported injuries

Morehead State: No reported injuries

Key Player Matchups

Quarterbacks:

Dayton: Bryce Schondelmyer – 371 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT (60.4% comp)

Morehead State: Carter Cravens – 353 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT; also 69 rush yds, 2 rush TD

Running Backs:

Dayton: Luke Hansen – 146 yds, 2 TD (7.0 YPC)

Morehead State: Isaac Stopke – 130 yds

Receivers:

Dayton: Gavin Lochow – 207 yds, 3 TD (103.5 YPG)

Morehead State: Ryan Upp – 181 yds, 1 TD

Defensive Leaders:

Dayton: Defense allowing just 13.0 PPG (#5 FCS)

Morehead State: Defense allowing 39.4 PPG (#111 FCS)

Recent Team Form

Dayton (3-1):

W 48-14 vs Stetson

W 17-14 @ Robert Morris

W 38-0 vs Thomas More

L 24-14 @ Eastern Illinois

Morehead State (2-3):

L 41-0 @ Presbyterian

W 45-28 vs Kentucky Christian

L 56-7 @ Austin Peay

L 41-13 @ Illinois State

W 38-31 vs Allen

Team Records

Dayton Flyers: 3-1 overall, 1-0 PFL

Morehead State Eagles: 2-3 overall, 0-1 PFL

Series History

All-Time: Dayton leads 13–7 since 2004

Last Meeting (2024): Morehead State 14, Dayton 6 (Dayton’s lowest scoring output of the season)

Trend: Morehead State has won 2 straight (2023, 2024).

Betting Trends

Dayton: 2-1 ATS; 1-2 O/U

Morehead State: 1-2 ATS; 2-1 O/U

Head-to-Head: Morehead State has covered 2 straight vs Dayton (2023, 2024).

Situational: Dayton defense ranks top-5 in FCS; Morehead State defense bottom-10

Historical Betting Results

2024: Morehead State 14, Dayton 6 (MSU +7 covered, Under 44 hit)

2023: Morehead State 31, Dayton 7 (MSU +10 covered, Under 48 hit)

2022: Dayton 49, Morehead State 27 (Dayton -14 covered, Over 56 hit)

2021: Morehead State 45, Dayton 38 (MSU +7 covered, Over 60 hit)

Projected Score: Dayton 31, Morehead State 17

Game Odds

Dayton Flyers                    – 11.5

Morehead State Eagles 45.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025

Previous articleFCS-CFB Game Preview: Western Illinois Leathernecks (1-4) vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (4-0)
Next articleFCS-CFB Game Preview: Morgan State Bears (2-3) vs. Georgetown Hoyas (2-3)
NCAAFB Editor
Profile: A dedicated college football analyst with a deep understanding of the sport’s tactical complexity, recruiting landscape, and conference‑wide dynamics. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage of the NCAA football season, blending film study, statistical insight, and historical context to explain how programs evolve from Week 1 through bowl season and the College Football Playoff. Background: With extensive experience covering Division I football, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets, digital platforms, and radio segments focused on coaching trends, roster construction, and player development. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term program trajectories across all major conferences. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and tactical matchups Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Recruiting analysis, transfer‑portal movement, and roster‑building strategy Coaching philosophies, scheme evolution, and conference‑wide trends Historical context, rivalry features, and postseason analysis Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes, advanced metrics, and recruiting data into insights that resonate with both long‑time college football fans and new followers of the sport. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the tradition, passion, and unpredictability that define NCAA football.