FCS-CFB Game Preview: Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) vs. Sacramento State Hornets (2-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Matchup: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Sacramento State Hornets

Kickoff Time: 6:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, California

Capacity: ~21,195

Event: Healthcare Appreciation Night at Sac State

Broadcast: ESPN+ Local TV: KMAX 31 Radio: ESPN 1320 AM

Weather Forecast (Sacramento, CA)

Kickoff Temperature: ~79°F (26°C)

Conditions: Clear skies, mild evening

Wind: 5–8 mph from the northwest

Precipitation:

Impact: Perfect football weather; no disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Cal Poly Mustangs:

QB Ty Dieffenbach – healthy, 579 passing yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT; also 89 rushing yards, 1 TD.

WR Michael Briscoe – healthy, 20 receptions, 428 yards, 7 TDs.

LB Mikey D’Amato – healthy, team-leading 37 tackles.

No major injuries reported.

Sacramento State Hornets:

QB Cardell Williams – healthy, 586 passing yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT.

RB Damian Henderson II – healthy, 258 rushing yards, 4 TDs.

WR Ernest Campbell – healthy, 228 receiving yards, 3 TDs.

DL Dylan Hampsten – healthy, coming off 2.5-sack performance vs. Central Arkansas.

Key Player Matchups

QB Ty Dieffenbach (Cal Poly) vs. Sac State Pass Rush

Dieffenbach is completing 67.4% of passes with efficiency.

Sac State’s front, led by Hampsten, has been disruptive.

WR Michael Briscoe (Cal Poly) vs. Hornets Secondary

Briscoe has 7 TDs in 4 games, averaging 107 ypg.

Sac State’s DBs must contain him to avoid explosive plays.

RB Damian Henderson II (Sac State) vs. Mustangs Front Seven

Henderson is averaging 86 ypg with 4 TDs.

Cal Poly has allowed 35+ points in 2 of 4 games.

QB Cardell Williams (Sac State) vs. Cal Poly Defense

Williams has been efficient with 4 TDs and 1 INT.

Cal Poly’s linebackers D’Amato and Olson are tackling machines.

Recent Team Form

Cal Poly Mustangs (2–2)

L 35–17 @ Stephen F. Austin (Week 4)

W 56–7 vs. Western Oregon (Week 3)

L 63–9 @ Utah (Week 2, FBS)

W 41–17 @ San Diego (Week 1)

Strengths: Explosive WR Briscoe, efficient QB play.

Weaknesses: Defense inconsistent against stronger opponents.

Sacramento State Hornets (2–2)

W 45–16 vs. Central Arkansas (Week 4)

W 49–28 vs. Mercer (Week 3)

L 20–17 @ Nevada (Week 2, FBS)

L 20–3 @ San Diego State (Week 1, FBS)

Strengths: Balanced offense, strong defensive front.

Weaknesses: Secondary has given up chunk plays.

Conference vs. Conference

Both are members of the Big Sky Conference.

This is the conference opener for both teams.

Series History

All-time series: Cal Poly leads 22–21.

Last meeting (2024): Cal Poly won 26–23, snapping Sac State’s 3-game win streak.

Trend: Historically close rivalry; Sac State had recent momentum until last year.

Betting Trends

Cal Poly Mustangs:

2–2 ATS in 2025.

1–4 ATS in last 5 Big Sky games.

3 of last 4 games have gone Over.

Sacramento State Hornets:

2–2 ATS in 2025.

5–2 ATS in last 7 home games.

4 of last 6 games have gone Over.

Historical Betting Results

2024: Cal Poly +7 covered in 26–23 win (Under cashed).

2023: Sac State -14 covered in 41–20 win (Over cashed).

2022: Sac State -10 covered in 49–21 win (Over cashed).

Game Odds

Cal Poly Mustangs                           56

Sacramento State Hornets           – 10

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025

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