Time: 4:00 PM ET (3:00 PM CT) – ESPNU
Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium, 2180 Aggie Road, Jonesboro, AR 72401
Capacity: 30,406
Weather Forecast (Jonesboro, AR)
Kickoff: 81°F, partly sunny
End of Game: ~76°F, clear skies
Rain Chance: 5%
Wind: 6–8 mph SSW
Impact: Excellent football weather; minimal effect on passing/kicking
Injury Report
Texas State (3-1, 0-0 Sun Belt):
No major injuries reported
Arkansas State (1-4, 0-1 Sun Belt):
No major injuries reported
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Texas State: Brad Jackson – 864 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 66.7% comp; 128 rush yds, 5 rush TD
Arkansas State: Jaylen Raynor – 1,206 yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 64.9% comp
Running Backs:
Texas State: Lincoln Pare – 363 yds, 3 TD (6.0 YPC)
Arkansas State: Devin Spencer – 188 yds, 1 TD
Receivers:
Texas State: Beau Sparks – 370 yds, 5 TD
Arkansas State: Chauncy Cobb – 367 yds
Defensive Leaders:
Texas State: Ryan Nolan – 29 tackles, 1 INT
Arkansas State: Eddie Hassler – 25 tackles, 1.5 sacks
Recent Team Form
Texas State (3-1):
W 35-3 vs Nicholls State
L 34-15 @ Arizona State
W 43-36 @ UTSA
W 52-27 vs Eastern Michigan
Arkansas State (1-4):
L 28-16 @ ULM
L 28-21 @ Kennesaw State
L 24-16 vs Iowa State
L 56-14 @ Arkansas
W 42-24 vs SE Missouri State
Team Records
Texas State: 3-1 overall, 0-0 Sun Belt
Arkansas State: 1-4 overall, 0-1 Sun Belt
Series History
All-Time: Arkansas State leads 7–5
Last Meeting (2024): Texas State 41, Arkansas State 9
2023: Arkansas State 77, Texas State 31
Trend: Texas State has won 5 of the last 6 meetings
Betting Trends
Texas State: 2-2 ATS in 2025; 1-1 ATS as ≥13.5 pt favorite; 2 of 4 games OVER
Arkansas State: 2-3 ATS; 1-1 ATS as ≥13.5 pt underdog; 2 of 5 games OVER
Head-to-Head: Texas State 5-1 SU last 6 vs Arkansas State
Situational: Arkansas State ranks 131st in defensive 3rd down % (51.7% allowed); Texas State offense ranks 21st nationally in 3rd down conversions (51.8%)
Historical Betting Results
2024: Texas State 41, Arkansas State 9 (TXST -13.5 covered, Under 58 hit)
2023: Arkansas State 77, Texas State 31 (ASU -3 covered, Over 65 hit)
2022: Texas State 16, Arkansas State 13 (ASU +6 covered, Under 46 hit)
Projected Score: Texas State 38, Arkansas State 24
Game Odds
Texas State Bobcats – 13.5
Arkansas State Red Wolves 59
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025
