Venue & Game Information
Kickoff Time: 7:30 PM ET (6:30 PM CT local)
Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas
Broadcast: ESPN2
Weather Forecast (Denton, TX)
Temperature: ~81°F at kickoff, cooling to mid-70s by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Mostly clear skies, low humidity
Wind: 6–9 mph, light cross-breeze
Impact: Ideal football weather, minimal effect on passing/kicking
Injury Report
South Florida Bulls:
QB Byrum Brown (healthy, expected starter)
RB depth: Cartevious Norton (questionable, hamstring), Tray Kinkle (questionable, ankle)
Defense: No major injuries reported
North Texas Mean Green:
QB Drew Mestemaker (healthy, expected starter)
RB Makenzie McGill (healthy, key power back)
OL rotation intact, no major injuries
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Byrum Brown (USF) – 1,236 passing yards, 13 TD, 5 INT; also 412 rushing yards and 5 rushing TD. A true dual-threat who can break games open with his legs.
Drew Mestemaker (UNT) – 1,145 passing yards, 11 TD, 0 INT; 68% completion rate. Efficient, turnover-free football has been the backbone of UNT’s 5-0 start.
Running Backs:
USF: Sam Franklin (steady between-the-tackles runner, 4.9 YPC) plus depth rotation.
UNT: Caleb Hawkins (140 yards, 2 TD last game vs. South Alabama) and Makenzie McGill form a dangerous one-two punch.
Receivers:
USF: Jeremiah Koger (75 yards, 1 TD vs. Charlotte) and Sean Atkins (possession target).
UNT: Miles Coleman (team leader in receptions, reliable chain-mover).
Defensive Playmakers:
USF: Jarvis Lee & D.J. Harris (each with INT vs. Charlotte), Jaelen Stokes (pass rush anchor).
UNT: Shane Whitter (team leader in tackles), Ethan Wesloski (ball-hawking safety).
Recent Team Form
South Florida (4-1):
Last game: Defeated Charlotte 54–26.
Strength: Explosive offense (36.2 PPG, top 25 nationally).
Weakness: Defense allows big plays against higher-tier opponents.
ATS: 3-1-1 this season.
North Texas (5-0):
Last game: Beat South Alabama 36–22.
Strength: Balanced offense (44.8 PPG, top 10 nationally).
Weakness: Defense has bent against strong rushing teams (38 points allowed vs. Army).
ATS: 4-1 this season.
Series History
All-time series: First-ever meeting between South Florida and North Texas.
Adds intrigue as both programs are rising within the AAC.
Betting Trends
South Florida:
3-1-1 ATS this season.
2-1 ATS as an underdog.
3 of last 5 games have gone Over.
North Texas:
4-1 ATS this season.
4-1 ATS as a favorite.
3 of last 5 games have gone Over.
Historical Betting Results
South Florida: Profitable ATS as an underdog in 2025, especially when Byrum Brown’s rushing game is featured.
North Texas: Strong ATS at home, covering 6 of last 8 in Denton.
Totals: Both teams trend toward the Over due to explosive offenses, though UNT home games have leaned slightly Under in recent seasons.
Projected Score: North Texas 33, South Florida 28
Game Odds
South Florida Bulls – 1.5
North Texas Mean Green 67.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, October 9, 2025
