FBS-CFB Game Preview: New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) vs. Liberty Flames (2-4)

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Venue & Game Details

Location: Williams Stadium, 1971 University Blvd, Lynchburg, VA 24502

Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET (4:00 p.m. PT)

Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Weather: Forecast calls for mild fall conditions, low 60s, light winds

Team Recent Form

New Mexico State Aggies: Coming off a 37-10 win over Sam Houston. QB Logan Fife threw for 255 yards and a TD. The Aggies have leaned on their passing game (260.8 YPG, 42nd nationally) but struggle on the ground (50.8 YPG, 136th).

Liberty Flames: Snapped a skid with a 19-8 win over UTEP. QB Ethan Vasko threw for 243 yards and added a rushing TD. Liberty’s defense is stout against the pass (154.2 YPG allowed, 12th nationally) but vulnerable against the run (196.8 YPG allowed, 126th).

Recent Form (last 3 games):

New Mexico State: W vs. Sam Houston (37-10), L vs. FIU (27-24), W vs. UMass (28-17)

Liberty: W vs. UTEP (19-8), L vs. Western Kentucky (31-14), L vs. Middle Tennessee (24-20)

Injury Report

New Mexico State: No major injuries reported.

Liberty: No key starters listed as out.

Key Player Matchups

QB Battle: Logan Fife (NMSU) – 1,270 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT vs. Ethan Vasko (LIB) – 1,006 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT, plus 3 rushing TDs.

Skill Players:

Donovan Faupel (NMSU WR) – 312 yards, 1 TD, reliable possession target.

Donte Lee Jr. (LIB WR) – 289 yards, 3 TDs, Liberty’s big-play threat.

Backfield: Kadarius Calloway (NMSU RB) – 158 yards, 2 TDs vs. Evan Dickens (LIB RB) – 344 yards, 2 TDs.

Series History

Liberty leads the recent series 3-1 in the last four meetings.

The last four matchups have been nearly even in scoring: Liberty 126 points, NMSU 125 points.

Against the spread (ATS), the series is split 2-2.

Betting Trends

Liberty is 2-4 ATS this season.

NMSU is 2-3 ATS this season.

Liberty games have gone Under in 5 of 6 contests.

NMSU games have gone Over in 2 of their last 3.

Both defenses rank top 10 nationally in red zone defense (NMSU 9th, Liberty 10th).

Score Projection: Liberty 24 – New Mexico State 20

Game Odds

New Mexico State Aggies             46.5

Liberty Flames                                  – 10.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Monday, October 13, 2025

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