FBS-CFB Game Preview: New Mexico Lobos (3-2) vs. Boise State Broncos (3-2)

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Venue & Game Details

Stadium: Albertsons Stadium (Capacity: 36,387; blue turf)

Location: Boise, Idaho

Kickoff Time: 9:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM MT

Broadcast: FS1

Weather Forecast (Boise, ID)

Conditions: Clear skies, cool fall night

Kickoff Temp: 58°F (14°C), dropping into the low 50s by the 4th quarter

Wind: 4–7 mph (light breeze)

Precipitation: 0% chance

Impact: Ideal football weather; no weather-related concerns.

Injury Report

New Mexico Lobos: No major injuries reported.

Boise State Broncos: No major injuries reported.

(Both teams enter this matchup healthy.)

Key Player Matchups

QB Jack Layne (New Mexico) vs. Boise State Secondary

Layne: 1,162 yards, 7 TDs, 6 INTs, 69.5% completion

Boise State Pass Defense: Allowing 186.6 YPG (#40 FBS).

RB Damon Bankston (New Mexico) vs. Boise State Front Seven

Bankston: 289 yards, 3 TDs, 6.7 YPC.

Boise State Run Defense: Allowing 164.4 YPG (#103 FBS).

WR Keagan Johnson (New Mexico) vs. CB Ty Benefield (Boise State)

Johnson: 326 yards, 1 TD.

Benefield: 32 tackles, 4 TFL, 1 INT.

QB Maddux Madsen (Boise State) vs. New Mexico Secondary

Madsen: 1,344 yards, 9 TDs, 5 INTs, 60.1% completion

New Mexico Pass Defense: Allowing 271.2 YPG (#126 FBS).

RB Dylan Riley (Boise State) vs. New Mexico Linebackers

Riley: 393 yards, 5 TDs, 7.4 YPC.

New Mexico Run Defense: Allowing 119.8 YPG (#47 FBS).

WR LaTrell Caples (Boise State) vs. CB Jaxton Eck (New Mexico)

Caples: 292 yards, 2 TDs.

Eck: 36 tackles, 1 sack.

Recent Team Form

New Mexico Lobos

Last game: Lost 35-28 to San Jose State.

Offense: 396.8 YPG (#66), 30 PPG (#61).

Defense: 391 YPG allowed (#96), 24.2 PPG allowed (#74).

Strength: Balanced offense, efficient QB play.

Weakness: Turnovers (-7 margin, last in FBS), poor pass defense.

Boise State Broncos

Last game: Lost 28-7 to Notre Dame.

Offense: 479 YPG (#14), 32.2 PPG (#52).

Defense: 351 YPG allowed (#64), 25.4 PPG allowed (#79).

Strength: Top-30 third-down offense (47.9%).

Weakness: Red-zone efficiency (128th nationally, 70%).

Series History

All-Time Record: Boise State leads 13–1.

Current Streak: Boise State has won 7 straight (2016–2023).

Last Meeting: 2023 – Boise State 42, New Mexico 14 (in Boise).

At Boise: Broncos lead 7–1.

Notable: New Mexico’s only win came in 2015 (31-24 in Boise).

Betting Trends

New Mexico:

3-2 ATS this season.

1-0 ATS as 16.5+ point underdog.

3 of 5 games Over.

Boise State:

4-1 ATS this season.

2-0 ATS as 16.5+ point favorite.

3 of 5 games Over.

Head-to-Head:

Boise State 7-0 SU vs. New Mexico since 2016.

Last 5 meetings: Boise 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS.

3 of last 5 meetings went Under.

Historical Betting Results

2023: Boise State -21, covered (42-14).

2022: Boise State -16, covered (31-14).

2021: Boise State -27, covered (37-0).

2019: Boise State -28, covered (42-9).

2018: Boise State -17, covered (45-14).

Projected Score: Boise State 34, New Mexico 20

Game Odds

New Mexico Lobos          58.5

Boise State Broncos        – 16.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025