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FBS-CFB Game Preview: Michigan Wolverines (5-2) vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-4)

Venue & Game Info

Stadium: Spartan Stadium, 325 W Shaw Ln, East Lansing, MI 48824

Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET

Broadcast: NBC

Weather Forecast: 54°F at kickoff, partly cloudy, winds 8–12 mph, no precipitation expected.

Team Recent Form

Michigan Wolverines:

Last game: 24-7 win vs. Washington

Offense: 28.7 PPG, 417.9 YPG (212 rush, 205 pass)

Defense: 17.0 PPG allowed, 307.9 YPG allowed (14th vs. run, 57th vs. pass)

Strength: Elite rushing attack and +9 turnover margin (4th nationally).

Michigan State Spartans:

Last game: 38-13 loss vs. Indiana

Offense: 27.1 PPG, 336.7 YPG (214 pass, 123 rush)

Defense: 32.7 PPG allowed, 382.7 YPG allowed (111th vs. pass, 50th vs. run)

Weakness: 126th nationally in 3rd-down defense (45.9% allowed).

Injury Report

Michigan: No major injuries; QB Bryce Underwood and RB Justice Haynes fully active.

Michigan State: OL depth thin; no significant skill-position absences reported.

Key Player Matchups

QB Bryce Underwood (MICH): 1,440 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT, 62.4% completion.

RB Justice Haynes (MICH): 705 yards, 8 TD, 7.4 YPC – centerpiece of Wolverines’ offense.

WR Donaven McCulley (MICH): 369 yards, 2 TD – reliable target.

QB Aidan Chiles (MSU): 1,262 yards, 10 TD, 3 INT, 65.1% completion.

RB Makhi Frazier (MSU): 384 yards, 2 TD – lead rusher.

WR Omari Kelly (MSU): 406 yards, 1 TD – top receiving option.

Series History

All-time: Michigan leads 73–38–5.

Recent: Michigan has won 3 of last 4 vs. MSU.

Last meeting: Michigan 49, Michigan State 0 (2023).

Trophy: Paul Bunyan Trophy (since 1953).

Betting Trends

Michigan: 3-4 ATS this season; 1-2 ATS as 14.5+ point favorite.

Michigan State: 3-4 ATS; 2-0 ATS as 14.5+ point underdog.

Totals: Michigan 3 of 7 OVER; MSU 5 of 7 OVER.

Head-to-Head: Michigan 3-1 SU last 4 vs. MSU; ATS split 2-2; 3 of last 4 OVER.

Game Odds

Michigan Wolverines                     – 14

Michigan State Spartans               47.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 24, 2025

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