FBS-CFB Game Preview: Ball State Cardinals (4-7) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (6-5)

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The 60th Bronze Stalk Trophy game closes the MAC regular season as the Miami (OH) RedHawks (6-5, 4-3 MAC) host the Ball State Cardinals (4-7, 2-5 MAC) at Fred C. Yager Stadium. Miami, under Chuck Martin, chases bowl eligibility and a potential top-four seed with a win, building on a midseason surge. Ball State, Tony Levine’s squad in year two of rebuild, scrapes for pride after a brutal East Division slate. The RedHawks’ balanced attack (top-30 MAC offense) faces a Cardinals defense that’s improved late but leaky overall—expect a cold-weather grind, with Oxford’s “Cradle of Coaches” faithful pushing for a streak-extending victory in this historic MAC tilt.

Venue Location

The showdown is at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio. This 24,000-seat on-campus relic, opened in 1983 and renovated in 2016, honors Miami’s coaching legacy (Weeb Ewbank, Ara Parseghian) and roars with red-and-white energy. It’s Miami’s home (4-2 in 2025), a 150-mile drive from Muncie, Indiana—drawing alumni for senior day amid the Butler County chill.

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET

Broadcast: ESPN+ (streaming), with radio on Ball State’s 89.1 FM (Cardinal Sports Network) and Miami’s 97.3 FM (RedHawk Radio Network).

Weather Updates

Oxford’s late-November forecast mirrors the Midwest bite, setting up a defensive slugfest. Expect partly cloudy skies with a high of 38°F (3°C) and a low around 28°F (-2°C). Winds: 10-15 mph from the west-northwest, with a 30% chance of light snow showers in the morning. Wind chill in the low 20s°F (-7°C) by kickoff—synthetic turf stays playable, but gusts could wobble kicks and favor run-heavy schemes like Miami’s (top-40 rush offense).

Injury Report

Miami’s depth has held amid a soft slate, but Ball State’s backfield took midseason hits, per Levine’s updates. Reports as of November 27.

Ball State Cardinals:

PlayerPositionStatusInjury DetailsImpact
Kiael KellyQBQuestionableAnkle (tweaked vs. NIU Nov. 15; limited reps)Dual-threat (1,950 pass yds, 14 TDs; 550 rush); if out, Kiael backs up with freshman—Cardinals 2-4 without full mobility.
George ChukwudiRBOutLower body (since Oct. 25)Lead rusher (650 yds, 6 TDs); thins committee (team ranks 105th rush, 120 YPG).
Jordan LawDBProbableConcussion (cleared post-Ohio)Slot corner (2 INTs); full practice—secondary (85th pass D) needs him vs. Miami’s arms.
Tanner KoziolTEQuestionableKnee (rotated last two)Pass-catcher (25 rec, 300 yds); shifts to WRs if sidelined.

Overall: Eight players limited/out per MAC reports; O-line allowed 32 sacks (115th nationally).

Miami (OH) RedHawks:

PlayerPositionStatusInjury DetailsImpact
Brett GabbertQBProbableShoulder (mild sprain vs. EMU; full throws)Starter (2,100 yds, 16 TDs); efficient 64% comp.—RedHawks 5-1 with him starting.
Mac McWilliamsWROutHamstring (midseason)Speed threat (30 rec, 450 yds); boosts underneath targets amid top-30 passing efficiency.
Matt SalaniLBQuestionableUndisclosed (limited vs. Buffalo)Tackler (55 stops); depth LBs filled (D ranks 45th scoring).
Kenny TracyCBAvailableAnkle (cleared after bye)Coverage DB (3 PBUs); bolsters secondary vs. Kelly’s scrambles.

Overall: Five limited; run game intact (top-40 YPC).

Player Matchups

Miami’s efficiency (top-25 SP+ offense) exploits Ball State’s inconsistencies (bottom-50 defense). Key edges:

Ball State QB Kiael Kelly (questionable) vs. Miami Secondary (Kenny Tracy available): Kelly’s legs (550 rush yds) test RedHawks’ DBs (45th pass efficiency D, 10 INTs). Edge: Miami—Hawks 4-1 forcing 2+ TOs; Cardinals 1-5 with 3+ giveaways.

Miami QB Brett Gabbert (probable) vs. Ball State Pass Rush: Gabbert’s poise (16 TDs, 4 INTs) carves short fields. Cardinals’ front (bottom-60 sacks) pressures 20% dropbacks. Edge: Gabbert—RedHawks 5-0 when he exceeds 200 yds.

Ball State RB George Chukwudi (out) vs. Miami Front Seven: Committee (120 YPG) faces Hawks’ LBs (top-40 run D, 110 yds allowed). Edge: Miami—Ball State 0-4 under 100 rush yds.

Miami RB Keyon Mozee vs. Ball State LB Core: Mozee (950 yds, 10 TDs) powers gaps. Cardinals’ tacklers middling (105th rush D). Edge: Mozee—Hawks 6-1 with 150+ rush yds.

Ball State: Non-con wins but MAC woes (SOS 70th).

Miami: Bowl fringe after 11-3 ’24; East Division contenders.

Recent Team Forms

Ball State Cardinals: Levine’s Cards stumbled with a 24-21 L at NIU (Nov. 15), scoring 18 PPG in skid amid turnovers (12 given). D improved late (25 PPG allowed last 3). Morale: Spoiler hunt—2-3 ATS as road dogs.

Miami (OH) RedHawks: Martin’s Hawks edged EMU 28-24 last week, with Gabbert-Mozee duo clicking (350 total yds/game). Offense potent (28 PPG), D opportunistic (12 TOs). Morale: Bowl push—4-1 SU at home.

Series History

The Bronze Stalk Trophy debuted in 1997 for this MAC East staple. All-time: Miami leads 24-13-1, with a current five-game win streak (L5 for Ball State). At Yager: Miami 12-6-1. Recent: Hawks outscored Cards 35-20 avg. last 5. Iconic: 2019’s 31-24 Miami OT win.

YearWinnerScoreNotes
2024Miami28-10Defensive dominance
2023Miami37-30High-scoring affair
2022Miami31-14Bowl-clinching rout
2021Miami28-17Road thriller
2020Ball State24-21Pandemic upset

Betting Trends

Ball State: 5-6 ATS (45.5%); 3-3 ATS as 15+ dogs. 6-5 O/U; overs in 4/6 road. 2-5 SU as underdog (28.6%). Vs. MAC: 2-5 SU/ATS.

Miami: 6-5 ATS (54.5%); 3-2 ATS as 15+ favorites. 5-6 O/U; unders in 4/5 home wins. 5-1 SU as fave (83.3%). Rivalry: 4-1 SU/ATS last 5.

Series Trends: Favorite covers 7/10; unders 6/10 (avg. 42 pts). Home teams 8-2 SU recent; Miami 5-0 SU last 5 tilts. Advanced: FPI gives Miami 85% win prob. Miami top-30 MAC SP+; Ball State 90th.

Game Odds

Ball State Cardinals                         41.5

Miami (OH) Redhawks                  – 17.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025

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