D3-CFB Game Preview: Pacific U Boxers (0-0) vs. Howard Payne Yellow Jackets (0-0)

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Game Overview

Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025 – Kickoff 7:00 p.m. CT / 5:00 p.m. PT

Venue: Gordon Wood Stadium, 3206 Milam Drive, Brownwood, TX 76801

Surface: Artificial Turf

Broadcast: Local Radio 94.3 FM KYOX HPU Athletics Live Stream

Weather Report (Brownwood, TX – Kickoff)

Conditions: Clear skies, warm evening

Temperature: ~88°F (31°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 70s by the 4th quarter

Wind: Light, ~6–8 mph from the south-southeast

Precipitation:

Impact: Heat could test depth and conditioning, especially for Pacific traveling from the Pacific Northwest

Injury Report

Pacific: No major injuries reported entering opener under head coach Ian Falconer

Howard Payne: No major injuries reported; head coach Jason Bachtel returns a healthy roster

Recent Team Form (End of 2024)

Pacific – Last 5 Games

W 39–11 vs. George Fox

W 24–10 @ Willamette

L 28–68 vs. Linfield

L 32–39 vs. Whitworth

L 37–51 @ Lewis & Clark

Howard Payne – Last 5 Games

L 7–63 @ Mary Hardin‑Baylor

L 17–38 vs. East Texas Baptist

L 17–44 @ Hardin‑Simmons

L 0–41 vs. Mary Hardin‑Baylor

L 33–42 @ East Texas Baptist

Key Player Matchups

Pacific QB vs. Howard Payne Secondary

Pacific’s passing game averaged over 230 YPG in 2024; HPU allowed 250+ pass YPG.

Look for Pacific to test HPU’s corners early with vertical routes.

Howard Payne QB vs. Pacific Pass Rush

HPU’s offense struggled with turnovers in 2024; Pacific’s defensive front will aim to create pressure and force quick throws.

Pacific WR1 vs. HPU CB1

Pacific’s top returning wideout is a deep threat; HPU must avoid giving up explosive plays over the top.

HPU RB Corps vs. Pacific Front Seven

Establishing the run is key for HPU to control tempo and keep Pacific’s offense off the field.

Series History

All-Time: First recorded meeting between the programs

Notable: Rare inter‑regional DIII matchup — NWC vs. ASC — providing a unique early‑season test for both sides

Betting Trends (Based on 2024 Data)

Pacific

3–2 ATS in last 5 games

Over in 4 of last 5 games

1–4 SU in road games

Howard Payne

1–4 ATS in last 5 games

Over in 3 of last 5 games

1–4 SU at home

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Pacific’s offensive balance vs. HPU’s defensive vulnerabilities

HPU’s home‑field advantage in Texas heat vs. Pacific’s long travel

Both teams’ defensive struggles in 2024 point toward higher scoring potential

Game Odds

Pacific U Boxers                                – 4.5

Howard Payne Yellow Jackets    54.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025

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NCAAFB Editor
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