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D3-CFB Game Preview: Carnegie Mellon Tartans (3-1) vs. Johns Hopkins Blue Jays (4-0)

Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET (9:00 AM PT)
Venue: Homewood Field, Baltimore, Maryland (capacity ~8,500)
Conference: Centennial Conference matchup

Weather Forecast (Baltimore, MD)

Temperature: ~67°F (19°C) at kickoff

Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (6–8 mph)

Impact: Excellent football weather; no major disruptions expected.

Injury Report

(Note: DIII programs release limited details; based on recent availability trends)

Carnegie Mellon:

Offensive line depth has been tested; one starter questionable.

Defensive secondary has been inconsistent, with a starting safety nursing a minor injury.

Johns Hopkins:

WR group healthy and deep.

Defensive front has one rotational player questionable, but starters expected to play.

Key Player Matchups

Carnegie Mellon QB vs. Johns Hopkins Secondary
The Tartans’ passing game has been efficient but will face one of the Centennial’s top defensive backfields.

Johns Hopkins QB & WR Corps vs. Carnegie Mellon Pass Rush
Hopkins thrives on explosive plays; CMU must generate pressure to disrupt rhythm.

Turnover Battle
Carnegie Mellon has relied on defensive takeaways to stay competitive, while Hopkins has been disciplined offensively.

Recent Team Form

Carnegie Mellon Tartans (3-1 overall, 1–1 Centennial)

10/04/25: Def. McDaniel 56-7

09/20/25: Def. Berry 31–27

09/13/25: Lost to Wis.-La Crosse 35–14

09/06/25: Def. Chicago 24–17

Momentum: Competitive but inconsistent; defense has struggled against high-powered offenses.

Johns Hopkins Blue Jays (4–0 overall, 1–0 Centennial)

10/03/25: Def. Dickinson 55–10

09/20/25: Def. Susquehanna 40–22

09/13/25: Def. John Carroll 27–13

09/06/25: Def. Ithaca 42–14

Momentum: Undefeated, dominant on both sides of the ball; averaging 41 points per game.

Series History

All-Time Meetings: Johns Hopkins leads the series.

Recent Matchups:

2024: Johns Hopkins 38, Carnegie Mellon 14

2023: Johns Hopkins 41, Carnegie Mellon 10

Trend: Hopkins has dominated recent meetings, winning by 20+ in each of the last two years.

Betting Trends:

Johns Hopkins is 7-1 ATS in last 8 Centennial games.

Carnegie Mellon is 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.

Over has hit in 5 of last 6 Hopkins games.

CMU games trend Under when facing strong defenses.

Historical Betting Results:

Hopkins has covered in 4 of last 5 vs. CMU.

Average margin of victory last 5 meetings: Hopkins +24.8.

Projected Score: Johns Hopkins 42 – Carnegie Mellon 20

Game Odds

Carnegie Mellon Tartans               56

Johns Hopkins Blue Jays               – 21.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025

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