D2 CFB Game Preview: Arkansas–Monticello Boll Weevils (0-0) vs. Southeastern Oklahoma State Savage Storm (0-0)

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Venue & Game Info

Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025 – 6:00 p.m. CT

Venue: Paul Laird Field, 425 W. University Blvd., Durant, Oklahoma

Surface: Artificial Turf

Capacity: ~7,500

Broadcast: GAC Sports Network / Local Radio (93.7 KHBM for UAM feed)

Weather Forecast (Durant, OK – Kickoff)

Conditions: Mostly clear skies

Temperature: ~84°F (29°C) at kickoff, cooling to ~76°F by the 4th quarter

Wind: Light ESE at 4–7 mph

Humidity: ~45%

Impact: Minimal — ideal conditions for both passing and kicking.

Injury Report

Arkansas–Monticello: No major injuries reported; QB Buddy Taylor and RB Tyler Reed both available.

Southeastern Oklahoma: No significant absences; starting QB and top WR corps intact.

Both teams enter Week 1 healthy, giving us a clean read on their true form.

Recent Team Form

Team

Arkansas–Monticello

Last 5 Games: L 0–27 vs SEOSU, L 17–42 @ East Central, W 54–22 @ Arkansas Tech, L 20–48 vs SEOSU (2022), L 14–34 @ Henderson St.

Notable Trends: 2–3 in last 5; offense averaged 21.4 ppg in 2024; defense allowed 37.8 ppg (11th in GAC).

Team

Southeastern Oklahoma

Last 5 Games: W 27–0 @ UAM, W 22–21 vs UAM (2023), W 48–20 @ UAM (2022), W 34–14 vs UAM (2021), L 7–9 vs UAM (2019)

Notable Trends: 4–1 in last 5 vs UAM; defense posted 2 shutouts in 2024; balanced offense averaging 32.9 ppg.

Series History

All-Time: Southeastern Oklahoma leads 10–4

Current Streak: SEOSU has won 4 straight (2021–2024).

Last Meeting: Oct. 12, 2024 – SEOSU 27, UAM 0 (in Monticello)

Largest Margin: SEOSU 37–0 (2015)

Closest Game: SEOSU 22–21 (2023)

Betting Trends

SEOSU: 9‑1 SU in last 10 vs UAM; 6‑4 ATS in that span.

UAM: 2‑8 ATS in last 10 road games vs GAC opponents.

Under has hit in 3 of last 4 meetings.

SEOSU has scored 27+ points in 7 of last 9 matchups.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

SEOSU’s defensive consistency vs UAM’s offensive struggles in 2024.

Historical dominance by SEOSU in series play.

Weather favoring balanced offensive execution.

Edges:

Lean: Southeastern Oklahoma ‑14.5 (moderate value)

Total: Lean Under 51.5 — UAM’s scoring ceiling appears limited vs SEOSU defense.

Game Odds

Ark–Monticello Boll Weevils                      51.5

SE’tern Oklahoma St Savage Storm          – 14.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025

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