NHL Game Preview: Ottawa Senators (12-8-4) vs. Dallas Stars (16-5-4)

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The Dallas Stars (16-5-4) welcome the Ottawa Senators (12-8-4) to the American Airlines Center in a cross-conference showdown that pits the Central Division leaders against a surging Atlantic contender. With the Stars’ balanced attack and Jake Oettinger’s Vezina-contending form anchoring a stingy defense, this matchup tests Ottawa’s high-event style led by Brady Tkachuk’s physicality against Dallas’ structured forecheck. The Senators aim to build on a road win streak, while the Stars look to rebound from a rare regulation loss at home. Expect a grind-it-out affair with faceoff battles and penalty-kill edges deciding it—playoff-like intensity early in the season. Faceoff is scheduled for Sunday, November 30, 2025, at 8:00 p.m. ET, airing on Sportsnet East (Senators), Bally Sports Southwest (Stars), and NHL Network, with streaming on SN Now, Fubo, and the NHL app.

Puckdrop: 8:00 p.m. ET

Broadcast: TV – Sportsnet East, Bally Sports Southwest, NHL Network; Streaming – SN Now, Fubo, NHL App; Radio – TSN 1200 (Senators), The Ticket 1310 (Stars)

Injury Report

Dallas’ blue line takes a hit with Heiskanen sidelined, thinning their top pairing, while Ottawa gets a boost from Tkachuk’s recent return but monitors its crease depth. The NHL’s official injury report (as of 6:00 p.m. ET on November 30) details the following—warmups could upgrade Stützle for the Senators.

TeamPlayerStatusInjury/Illness Details
SenatorsTim StützleQuestionableUpper Body; Day-to-Day (missed 2 practices)
SenatorsLinus UllmarkProbableLower Body; Maintenance
SenatorsZack MacEwenOutAHL – Conditioning
StarsMiro HeiskanenOutLower Body; Week-to-Week (high-ankle sprain)
StarsJamie BennAvailableNo Injury (post-rest)
StarsNils LundkvistOutAHL – Assignment
StarsLogan StankovenOutAHL – Conditioning

Senators’ Anton Forsberg expected to back up Ullmark; Stars turn to Oettinger after .928 SV% in November.

Team Records

TeamOverall RecordHome/Away SplitATS RecordO/U Record
Ottawa Senators12-8-47-4-2 Home / 5-4-2 Away13-1112-10-2
Dallas Stars16-5-49-2-2 Home / 7-3-2 Away14-1111-13-1

Dallas leads the Central with a +2.1 goal differential and No. 3 PK (84.6%), while Ottawa sits 4th in the Atlantic, thriving in five-on-five (51.8% Corsi).

Recent Team Forms

Ottawa enters hot with four wins in five, showcasing offensive pop (3.6 GF/G) but leaky transitions (3.2 GA/G road). Dallas is 3-1-1 in theirs, dominant at home (7-0-1 in last eight) but vulnerable without Heiskanen (allowing 2.8 GA in his absences). Combined shots pace: 61.4, neutral on totals.

Ottawa Senators – Last 5 Games (4-1-0):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
11/28/2025vs. TorontoW 4-3 (OT)Tkachuk: 2G; PP winner in OT
11/26/2025@ MontrealW 5-2Batherson: 1G, 2A; Road surge
11/23/2025vs. BostonW 3-1Ullmark: 29 saves; Defensive edge
11/21/2025@ BuffaloW 4-2Norris: 2A; Balanced attack
11/19/2025vs. DetroitL 3-2Stützle: 1G; Close loss

Dallas Stars – Last 5 Games (3-1-1):

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
11/28/2025vs. ColoradoW 3-2Robertson: 1G, 1A; Oettinger 31 saves
11/26/2025@ MinnesotaL 4-3 (OT)Pavelski: 2G; Lost in extra
11/23/2025vs. NashvilleW 5-1Hintz: Hat trick; Offensive clinic
11/21/2025@ St. LouisW 2-1Heiskanen: 2A (pre-injury); Grit
11/19/2025vs. ChicagoT 3-3 (SO)Duchene: GWG in SO; Point home

Series History

Dallas holds a commanding all-time advantage (68-49-13 over 130 regular-season games), winning 7 of the last 10 meetings. The Stars swept the 2024-25 series 2-0, including a 4-2 home win on November 12, 2025, behind Oettinger’s 28 saves. At the AAC, Dallas is 34-22-6 vs. Ottawa, often controlling tempo (unders in 6 of last 8 home H2H).Key Historical Trends:

Stars 7-3 SU in last 10 head-to-heads.

Under in 6 of last 8 (avg. 5.5 goals).

Dallas covers -1.5 in 5 of last 7 home vs. Ottawa.

Player Matchups

Dallas’ depth overwhelms Ottawa’s top-heavy attack, with Robertson’s line vs. Tkachuk’s the highlight. Oettinger’s .925 SV% edges Ullmark’s .910—expect 55+ faceoffs and physical play.

Brady Tkachuk (Senators, 14G, 12A) vs. Jason Robertson (Stars, 16G, 20A): Tkachuk’s net-front chaos (2.2 hits/G) tests Robertson’s sniper touch (22% shooting); Robo held scoreless in last H2H? No—avg. 1.4 pts vs. OTT. Edge: Stars.

Tim Stützle (Senators, Q; 13G, 18A) vs. Roope Hintz (Stars, 15G): Stützle’s speed vs. Hintz’s two-way game (54% faceoffs); if Tim plays, edge to him. Edge: Senators (if available).

Drake Batherson (Senators, 11G) vs. Joe Pavelski (Stars, veteran): Batherson’s shot volume vs. Pavelski’s IQ—key for PP. Edge: Even.

Linus Ullmark (Senators, 2.45 GAA) vs. Jake Oettinger (Stars, 2.12 GAA): Ullmark’s glove vs. Oettinger’s positioning; Jake 3-0-0 lifetime vs. OTT with 1.67 GAA. Edge: Stars.

X-Factor: Senators’ PK (81.2%, No. 18) vs. Stars’ PP (24.8%, No. 4).

Betting Trends

Key Trends:

Senators: 4-1 SU last 5; 6-4 ATS road; Over in 7/10 away.

Stars: 9-1 SU last 10 home; 7-3 ATS as favorites; Under in 6/9 vs. Atlantic.

Head-to-Head: Under in 6/8; Stars 7-3 ATS last 10.

Game Odds

Ottawa Senators              6

Dallas Stars                         – 138

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, November 29, 2025

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