NHL Game Preview: Washington Capitals (7-6-1) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (7-5-2)

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Venue & Event Details

Location: Benchmark International Arena, 401 Channelside Drive, Tampa, FL

Puckdrop: 7:00 p.m. ET

Broadcast: ESPN+, Bally Sports Sun, Monumental Sports Network

Injury Report

Washington Capitals:

Sonny Milano (upper body, probable)

Martin Fehervary (knee, probable)

Dylan McIlrath (lower body, out)

Pierre-Luc Dubois (day-to-day, lower body)

Tampa Bay Lightning:

Oliver Bjorkstrand (lower body, probable)

Brandon Hagel (upper body, probable)

Nick Paul (upper body, day-to-day)

Maxwell Crozier (undisclosed, out short-term)

Key Player Matchups

Tom Wilson (WAS) vs. Nikita Kucherov (TB): Wilson leads Washington with 16 points (9G, 7A) in 14 games, while Kucherov has 14 points (7G, 7A) in 12 games.

Dylan Strome (WAS) vs. Jake Guentzel (TB): Strome has 14 points (4G, 10A), while Guentzel contributes 13 points (5G, 8A).

Goaltending: Capitals may rotate Charlie Lindgren and Darcy Kuemper, while Tampa relies on Andrei Vasilevskiy (4 wins, 246 saves) and Jonas Johansson (3 wins, 120 saves).

Team Recent Form

Washington Capitals:

Recently lost 5–3 to Pittsburgh.

Away record: 3–3–1.

Averaging 2.24 goals per game, allowing 2.74 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Lightning:

Coming off a 6–3 win vs. Vegas.

Home record: 4–2–1.

Averaging 3.24 goals per game, allowing 3.98 goals per game.

Struggled in conference play (1–5 record).

Series History

Last 10 meetings: Lightning lead 6–4.

2024–25 season: Split 2–2, each team winning once at home and once on the road.

Capitals have historically struggled in Tampa, losing 3 of their last 4 visits.

Betting Trends:

Capitals are 3–2 ATS in their last five games.

Lightning are 4–1 ATS in their last five, but defense remains shaky.

Over has hit in 4 of Tampa’s last 5 games (high-scoring trend).

Washington games lean Under due to lower offensive output.

Key Takeaway

This matchup pits Washington’s physical, lower-scoring style against Tampa Bay’s high-octane offense led by Kucherov and Guentzel. The Lightning are favored at home, but their defensive inconsistency leaves room for a Capitals upset. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game with Tampa slightly more likely to prevail.

Game Odds

Washington Capitals                      5.5

Tampa Bay Lightning                      – 148

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 7, 2025