FBS-CFB Game Preview: San Diego State Aztecs (5-1) vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2)

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Venue & Game Info

Stadium: Valley Children’s Stadium, Fresno, California

Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET / 12:30 PM PT

Broadcast: FS1

Weather Forecast: 74°F at kickoff, sunny skies, light winds (5–7 mph), no precipitation expected.

Team Recent Form

San Diego State Aztecs:

Last game: 44-10 win vs. Nevada

Offense: 30.7 PPG, 369.2 YPG (189 pass, 179 rush)

Defense: 12.2 PPG allowed (5th nationally), 261.3 YPG allowed (9th)

Strength: Top-10 defense, elite red-zone stops (7th nationally).

Fresno State Bulldogs:

Last game: 49-21 loss vs. Colorado State

Offense: 29.3 PPG, 381.9 YPG (218 pass, 163 rush)

Defense: 23.7 PPG allowed, 311.9 YPG allowed (27th nationally)

Weakness: -3 turnover margin, red-zone offense just 77.8% (108th).

Injury Report

San Diego State: No major injuries reported; QB Jayden Denegal fully active.

Fresno State: QB E.J. Warner (healthy, but turnover-prone with 9 INTs); no significant absences.

Key Player Matchups

QB Jayden Denegal (SDSU): 1,100 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT, 65.9% completion.

RB Lucky Sutton (SDSU): 526 yards, 6 TD, 5.1 YPC.

WR Jordan Napier (SDSU): 556 yards, 2 TD – deep threat.

QB E.J. Warner (FSU): 1,486 yards, 10 TD, 9 INT, 68.8% completion.

RB Bryson Donelson (FSU): 388 yards, 3 TD.

WR Josiah Freeman (FSU): 300 yards, 4 TD.

Series History

All-time: Fresno State leads 32–27–4.

Rivalry: Battle for the Old Oil Can (since 2011).

Recent: Fresno State has won 2 of last 3; SDSU won 3 of last 5.

Last meeting: Fresno State 35, SDSU 32 (2024).

Betting Trends

San Diego State: 5-1 ATS this season; 3-0 ATS as 3+ point favorite.

Fresno State: 3-4 ATS; 0-1 ATS as 3+ point underdog.

Totals: SDSU 3 of 6 OVER; Fresno 4 of 7 OVER.

Head-to-Head: Last 3 meetings all OVER the total.

Game Odds

San Diego State Aztecs                  – 3

Fresno State Bulldogs                    46.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 24, 2025

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