NWSL Match Preview: Houston Dash (6-9-5) vs. Chicago Stars FC (2-9-9)

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Houston Dash logo

Kickoff: 7:00 PM CT
Venue: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas (Capacity: ~21,000)
Broadcast: Paramount+ / NWSL+

Weather Forecast (Houston, TX)

Temperature: ~87°F (31°C) at kickoff, humid conditions

Conditions: Mostly clear skies, light winds (5–7 mph)

Impact: Heat and humidity could test Chicago’s depth late in the match.

Injury Report

Houston Dash:

FW Diana Ordóñez – Healthy; leads team in goals.

MF Sophie Schmidt – Healthy; veteran anchor in midfield.

DF Katie Lind – Healthy; key defensive presence.

No major injuries reported.

Chicago Red Stars:

FW Mallory Swanson – Healthy; team’s top scorer.

MF Yuki Nagasato – Healthy; creative playmaker.

DF Tierna Davidson – Healthy; defensive leader.

No major injuries reported.

Key Player Matchups

Diana Ordóñez (HOU) vs. Tierna Davidson (CHI)

Ordóñez’s aerial threat vs. Davidson’s positioning will be pivotal.

Mallory Swanson (CHI) vs. Katie Lind (HOU)

Swanson’s pace and direct play could stretch Houston’s back line.

Sophie Schmidt (HOU) vs. Yuki Nagasato (CHI)

Midfield battle between experience and creativity.

Goalkeepers:

Jane Campbell (HOU) vs. Alyssa Naeher (CHI) – two U.S. internationals, both capable of stealing points.

Recent Team Form

Houston Dash (2025 season to date):

Last 5: W–D–L–W–L

Goals For: 13 Goals Against: 22

Currently mid-table, inconsistent but dangerous at home.

Chicago Red Stars (2025 season to date):

Last 5: L–L–D–D–L

Goals For: 10 Goals Against: 27

Struggling at the bottom of the table, defense leaking goals.

Series History

All-time series: Houston Dash lead 12–10–8.

Last meeting: June 2025 – Houston won 2–1 at SeatGeek Stadium.

Houston unbeaten in last 3 vs. Chicago.

Betting Trends

Houston Dash:

3–2 ATS in last 5 matches.

Overs hit in 3 of last 5.

Stronger at home (2W–2D–1L in last 5).

Chicago Red Stars:

0–4–1 SU in last 5 matches.

1–4 ATS in last 5.

Overs hit in 4 of last 5 (defensive struggles).

Head-to-Head: Houston has covered in 2 of last 3 meetings.

Historical Betting Results

Houston: More profitable ATS at home; overs common in humid Houston conditions.

Chicago: Struggles ATS as a road underdog; overs frequent due to defensive lapses.

Trend: In the last 10 Dash–Stars meetings, the over has cashed 6 times.

MATCH ODDS

Houston Dash – 120        Draw + 240                         Chicago Stars FC + 260

Over 2.5  -115                   Under 2.5 – 130

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, September 18, 2025