D2 CFB Game Preview: Assumption Greyhounds (0-0) vs. Kutztown Golden Bears (0-0)

0
34

Venue & Game Info

Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025 – 7:30 p.m. ET

Venue: Andre Reed Stadium, 15200 Kutztown Rd., Kutztown, PA 19530

Surface: Artificial Turf

Capacity: ~5,600

Broadcast: PSAC Digital Network / Local Radio

Weather Forecast (Kutztown, PA – Kickoff)

Conditions: Clear skies

Temperature: ~68°F (20°C) at kickoff, dipping to ~62°F by game end

Wind: Light NNW at 4–6 mph

Humidity: ~50%

Impact: Ideal football weather — no significant effect on passing or kicking.

Injury Report

Assumption: No major injuries reported; RB Kameron Robbins (79 yds, TD in 2024 meeting) fully fit.

Kutztown: No significant absences; QB Judd Novak (80‑yd TD run last year) healthy and starting.

Both teams enter Week 1 at full strength — expect full playbooks on both sides.

Recent Team Form

Team

Assumption Greyhounds

Last 5 Games: L 21–19 (2OT) vs Franklin Pierce, W 14–7 @ Pace, L 27–24 @ AIC, W 19–14 vs New Haven, L 20–14 (OT) @ St. Anselm

Notable Trends: 2–3 in last 5; four games decided by ≤6 points; defense allowed just 18.8 ppg in 2024.

Team

Kutztown Golden Bears

Last 5 Games: L 25–24 (OT) vs Slippery Rock, W 21–14 @ Cal U, W 31–13 vs West Chester, W 49–17 @ Millersville, W 24–0 vs Shepherd

Notable Trends: 4–1 in last 5; reigning PSAC East champs; defense posted 3 shutouts in 2024.

Series History

All-Time: Assumption leads 5–4

Last Meeting: Sept. 5, 2024 – Kutztown 24, Assumption 6 (in Kutztown)

Recent Trend: Teams have split last 4 meetings; Assumption won in 2022 & 2023, Kutztown took 2024.

Largest Margin: Assumption 45–21 (2016) / Kutztown 54–16 (2019).

Betting Trends

Kutztown: 8‑2 SU in last 10 home games; 3‑1 ATS in last 4 season openers.

Assumption: 4‑6 ATS in last 10 road games; 2‑0 ATS vs Kutztown in 2022–23.

Under has hit in 4 of last 5 meetings.

Home team is 5‑1 SU in last 6 matchups.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Kutztown’s defensive dominance at home.

Assumption’s offensive struggles vs KU front (132 total yds in 2024 meeting).

Historical low‑scoring trends in series.

Edges:

Lean: Kutztown ‑13.5 (moderate value)

Total: Lean Under 44.5 — both defenses capable of limiting explosive plays.

Game Odds

Assumption Greyhounds              44.5

Kutztown Golden Bears                – 13.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025