Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, AZ Scheduled
First Pitch: 5:10 PM PT / 8:10 PM ET
Television: Bally Sports Ohio / Bally Sports Arizona / MLB.TV**
Weather Forecast — Phoenix, AZ
Chase Field is a retractable‑roof stadium. August heat in Phoenix almost always forces a closed roof.
Temperature: 108°F
Humidity: 22%
Wind: 6 mph SW
Rain Chance: 0% Roof Status: Closed — neutral hitting environment, reduces HR variance.
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Hunter Greene — OUT (shoulder)
Nick Lodolo — OUT (forearm)
Christian Encarnacion‑Strand — OUT (wrist)
TJ Friedl — OUT (oblique)
Alexis Díaz — OUT (elbow)
Jeimer Candelario — Day‑to‑day (back)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Eduardo Rodríguez — OUT (shoulder)
Alek Thomas — OUT (hamstring)
Kevin Ginkel — OUT (forearm)
Eugenio Suárez — Day‑to‑day (hand)
Corbin Carroll — healthy
Ketel Marte — healthy
Arizona is missing pitching depth but retains its offensive core. Cincinnati is missing multiple key bats and bullpen pieces.
Starting Pitching Matchup
CIN — RHP Rhett Lowder
(2026 Season: 7–10, 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) Lowder has shown flashes of brilliance but remains inconsistent.
Strengths:
Excellent changeup
Generates weak contact
Good command when ahead in counts
Weaknesses:
Struggles vs left‑handed power
Diamondbacks rank 4th in MLB vs changeups
Vulnerable to HRs when forced into fastball counts
Diamondbacks vs Lowder profile:
Marte: .333 vs changeups
Carroll: .302 vs RHP fastballs
Pederson: .511 SLG vs RHP
ARI — RHP Mike Soroka
(2026 Season: 8–7, 3.88 ERA, 1.26 WHIP) Soroka has reinvented himself as a command‑first sinker/slider arm.
Strengths:
Heavy sinker generating 52% ground balls
Excellent vs right‑handed hitters
Strong home splits (3.41 ERA at Chase Field)
Weaknesses:
Struggles vs left‑handed power
Reds’ best hitters (De La Cruz, Benson) feast on elevated fastballs
Low strikeout rate limits margin for error
Reds vs Soroka profile:
Elly De La Cruz: .540 SLG vs RHP fastballs
Benson: .288 vs sinkers
India: .274 vs RHP, strong OBP
Key Player Matchups
1. Ketel Marte vs Rhett Lowder
Marte crushes changeups
Lowder relies heavily on his changeup Edge: Marte
Elly De La Cruz vs Mike Soroka
Elly destroys elevated fastballs
Soroka must keep ball down Edge: Slightly Elly
Joc Pederson vs Reds Bullpen
Reds bullpen ERA: 4.91
Pederson thrives vs middle relief Edge: Pederson
Corbin Carroll vs Lowder
Carroll’s speed + contact vs Lowder’s pitch‑to‑contact style Edge: Carroll
Recent Team Form
Cincinnati Reds — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 4.0 runs/game
Bullpen struggling without Díaz
Road record: 27–38
Elly heating up (4 HR in last 8 games)
Arizona Diamondbacks — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense averaging 5.3 runs/game
Rotation stabilizing
Home record: 37–28
Carroll + Marte surging
Arizona enters significantly hotter and healthier.
Series History
2026 Season Series
Diamondbacks lead 3–2
Arizona has outscored Cincinnati 26–22
Soroka vs CIN earlier: 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 K
Lowder vs ARI earlier: 5 IP, 4 ER, 2 HR allowed
At Chase Field (Last 3 Years)
Diamondbacks lead 8–5
Average total runs: 9.0
HRs spike vs sinkerballers
Betting Trends
Cincinnati Reds
3–7 in last 10 road games
2–5 in Lowder’s last 7 starts
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Reds games
Arizona Diamondbacks
8–3 in last 11 home games
6–1 in Soroka’s last 7 starts
Diamondbacks ML has hit in 68% of games as home favorites
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Diamondbacks have won 5 of last 7
Over has hit in 6 of last 10
Game Odds
Cincinnati Reds 8
Arizona Diamondbacks – 180
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 21, 2026
