Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field — Chicago, IL
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT / 8:10 PM ET
Television: NBC Sports Chicago / SNY / MLB.TV**
Weather Forecast — Chicago, IL
Guaranteed Rate Field is outdoors and heavily influenced by wind direction.
Temperature: 82°F
Wind: 13 mph blowing out to left field
Humidity: 61%
Rain Chance: 20% Conditions: Hitter‑friendly, especially for right‑handed pull hitters.
Wind blowing out boosts HR probability for Alonso, Lindor, Robert Jr., and Eloy.
Injury Report
New York Mets
Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
Francisco Alvarez — OUT (thumb)
Starling Marte — OUT (hip)
Jeff McNeil — Day‑to‑day (back)
Brooks Raley — OUT (elbow)
Jose Quintana — OUT (lat)
Chicago White Sox
Yoán Moncada — OUT (hamstring)
Andrew Vaughn — OUT (wrist)
Michael Kopech — OUT (UCL)
Erik Fedde — OUT (forearm)
Luis Robert Jr. — healthy
Eloy Jiménez — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
White Sox have more lineup power available; Mets are missing key bats.
Starting Pitching Matchup
NYM — RHP Christian Scott
(2026 Season: 6–8, 4.09 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) Scott has emerged as a promising young arm with strong command.
Strengths:
Excellent fastball/slider combo
Strong strikeout-to-walk ratio
Good road performance (3.77 ERA)
Keeps ball down effectively
Weaknesses:
Struggles vs elite right-handed power
Vulnerable when forced up in zone
White Sox rank 6th in MLB vs sliders
White Sox vs Scott profile:
Robert Jr.: .311 vs RHP sliders
Eloy: .288 vs fastballs up
Colás: .274 vs RHP, rising bat
CWS — RHP Luis Castillo
(2026 Season: 12–7, 3.22 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) Castillo has been a stabilizing ace for Chicago.
Strengths:
Elite fastball/changeup combination
Dominates right-handed hitters
Excellent home splits (2.94 ERA at GRF)
Mets rank 25th in MLB vs changeups
Weaknesses:
Occasional HR issues vs lefties
Mets’ best hitters (Lindor, Alonso) feast on elevated fastballs
Mets vs Castillo profile:
Lindor: .302 vs changeups
Alonso: .540 SLG vs RHP fastballs
Baty: .244 vs RHP, inconsistent
Key Player Matchups
Luis Robert Jr. vs Christian Scott
Robert crushes sliders
Wind blowing out to left Edge: Robert Jr.
Pete Alonso vs Luis Castillo
Alonso’s power vs Castillo’s elevated fastball
Castillo’s changeup is the equalizer Edge: Slightly Castillo
Eloy Jiménez vs Mets Bullpen
Mets bullpen ERA: 4.62
Eloy thrives vs middle relief Edge: Eloy
Francisco Lindor vs Castillo
Lindor handles changeups well
Castillo dominates righties overall Edge: Castillo
Recent Team Form
New York Mets — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 3.8 runs/game
Bullpen unreliable
Road record: 26–39
Alonso carrying lineup
Chicago White Sox — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense heating up (5.0 runs/game)
Rotation stabilizing
Home record: 38–27
Robert Jr. + Eloy surging
White Sox enter significantly hotter.
Series History
2026 Season Series
First meeting of the season
Last season: White Sox won 2 of 3
Castillo vs NYM last year: 7 IP, 1 ER, 9 K
Scott has never faced CWS
At Guaranteed Rate Field (Last 3 Years)
White Sox lead 8–5
Average total runs: 9.3
HRs spike with wind blowing out
Betting Trends
New York Mets
3–7 in last 10 road games
2–5 in Scott’s last 7 starts
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Mets games
Chicago White Sox
8–3 in last 11 home games
6–1 in Castillo’s last 7 starts
White Sox ML has hit in 67% of games as home favorites
Head‑to‑Head Trends
White Sox have won 5 of last 7
Over has hit in 6 of last 9 at GRF
GAME ODDS
New York Mets 8.5
Chicago White Sox – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 21, 2026
