Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY
Scheduled First Pitch: 1:05 PM ET
Television: YES Network / Sportsnet / MLB.TV
Weather Forecast — Bronx, NY
Yankee Stadium is outdoors, so weather matters.
Temperature: 84°F
Wind: 9 mph blowing out to right‑center
Humidity: 63%
Rain: 10%
Conditions: Slightly hitter‑friendly due to wind direction
Right‑handed pull hitters (Judge, Stanton, Guerrero Jr.) get a bump.
Injury Report
Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette — OUT (knee surgery)
Jordan Romano — OUT (elbow)
Yusei Kikuchi — OUT (shoulder)
Isiah Kiner‑Falefa — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
Alejandro Kirk — OUT (thumb)
New York Yankees
Gerrit Cole — OUT (forearm)
Anthony Rizzo — OUT (ankle)
Jasson Domínguez — OUT (lat strain)
Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)
DJ LeMahieu — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Yankees are missing star power but still deep. Toronto is missing Bichette and Romano — massive losses.
Starting Pitching Matchup
TOR — RHP Dylan Cease
(2026 Season: 9–10, 4.12 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 184 K) Cease remains electric but inconsistent.
Strengths:
Elite strikeout stuff (fastball/slider combo)
Generates whiffs vs right‑handed power bats
Excellent road strikeout rate
Weaknesses:
Prone to walks
Gives up HRs when behind in counts
Struggles vs lefties with high OBP
Yankees vs Cease profile:
Judge: 3 HR lifetime vs Cease
Soto: .333 career avg vs Cease
Volpe: aggressive early count hitter — Cease struggles vs early‑count swings
NYY — LHP Ryan Weathers
(2026 Season: 11–6, 3.48 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) Weathers has become a legitimate mid‑rotation force.
Strengths:
Heavy sinker that neutralizes right‑handed power
Excellent command
Keeps ball in park at Yankee Stadium
Strong vs teams with high chase rates (Toronto ranks 5th in MLB in chase %)
Weaknesses:
Struggles vs left‑handed power
Vulnerable when forced up in zone
Blue Jays vs Weathers profile:
Vlad Jr.: .298 vs LHP, .571 SLG
Daulton Varsho: .244 vs LHP, but 9 HR vs lefties in 2026
George Springer: declining vs lefties
Key Player Matchups
Juan Soto vs Dylan Cease
Soto vs high‑velocity fastballs: .311 AVG
Cease’s fastball command inconsistent Edge: Soto
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Ryan Weathers
Vlad vs sinkers: .344 AVG, .602 SLG
Weathers throws sinker 38% Edge: Vlad Jr.
Aaron Judge vs Cease
Judge lifetime vs Cease: 3 HR, 1.020 OPS
Wind blowing out to right‑center Edge: Judge
Varsho vs Weathers
Varsho’s pull‑side power plays well at Yankee Stadium Edge: Varsho (sneaky)
Recent Team Form
Toronto Blue Jays — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense inconsistent without Bichette
Bullpen unreliable without Romano
Road record: 29–36
Averaging 3.9 runs/game over last 10
New York Yankees — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Soto/Judge carrying offense
Rotation stabilizing despite Cole’s absence
Home record: 41–25
Averaging 5.2 runs/game
Yankees enter hotter and more stable.
Series History
2026 Season Series
Yankees lead 6–4
Yankees have outscored Toronto 49–41
Cease faced NYY once: 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 BB, 9 K
Weathers vs TOR: 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 K
At Yankee Stadium (Last 3 Years)
Yankees lead 14–9
Average total runs: 9.1
HRs spike due to short porch
Betting Trends
Toronto Blue Jays
2–6 in last 8 road games
1–5 in Cease’s last 6 starts
Under is 7–3 in last 10 Jays games
New York Yankees
8–3 in last 11 home games
6–1 in Weathers’ last 7 starts
Yankees ML has hit in 69% of games as home favorites
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Yankees have won 5 of last 7
Over has hit in 6 of last 9 at Yankee Stadium
GAME ODDS
Toronto Blue Jays – 106
New York Yankees 7
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 21, 2026
