NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Dollar Tree 301

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Venue: New Hampshire Motor Speedway (“The Magic Mile”), Loudon, New Hampshire Race Details

Scheduled Start: 2:00 p.m. ET (moved up one hour from the original 3:00 p.m. ET due to forecasted late-afternoon/evening inclement weather). Green flag expected around 2:10–2:20 p.m. ET.

Distance: 301 laps / 318.458 miles on the 1.058-mile oval.

Stages: 70 / 185 / 301.

TV/Radio: USA Network (also available on HBO Max in some packages); PRN Radio and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.

Purse: Approximately $11.2 million.

New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a flat 1.058-mile D-shaped oval. Banking is minimal (approximately 2–7 degrees in the turns and near-flat on the straights), placing a premium on braking, throttle control, car rotation through the center of the corners, long-run handling, and tire management. The relatively short straights and tight turns reward precision over pure horsepower. The backstretch is a key area for setting up passes into Turns 3–4.

Weather Forecast

Sunday’s forecast calls for a significant chance of precipitation (reports cite 60%+ chance of showers, with some sources noting higher probabilities later in the afternoon/evening and possible thunderstorms). Temperatures are expected in the low-to-mid 70s°F. The earlier start is designed to complete the race before the worst of the weather arrives. Teams have wet-weather tires available. Track conditions could range from dry to damp, potentially affecting strategy and making the race weather-dependent.

Track Characteristics Summary

Length: 1.058 miles

Type: Intermediate flat oval (“Magic Mile”)

Turns: Four relatively tight, low-banked corners

Emphasis: Handling, restarts, pit strategy, and consistency over 301 laps

Key Driver Matchups & Recent Form

This is a critical race with only one regular-season event remaining after New Hampshire (Daytona). Playoff positioning and bubble battles intensify the competition.

Notable contenders and form notes:

Ryan Blaney (Team Penske No. 12): Defending race winner and a top favorite. Strong recent form and excellent at this style of track.

Christopher Bell (Joe Gibbs Racing No. 20): Consistent high finisher with strong historical results at New Hampshire.

Denny Hamlin (Joe Gibbs Racing No. 11): Points leader in many reports; excellent average finishes and stage-point producer at the track.

Joey Logano (Team Penske No. 22): Hot streak with recent wins; multiple career victories at New Hampshire and strong short-track/flat-track form.

Chase Briscoe (Joe Gibbs Racing No. 19): Excellent recent form (multiple top-six finishes, including a win earlier and strong Richmond run). Frequently cited as a strong value/sleeper.

Other notables: Tyler Reddick, Ty Gibbs, Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson, Josh Berry, and Carson Hocevar have been mentioned in sleeper or value conversations depending on recent performances.

Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske cars have historically performed well at this flat, technical track. Long-run speed and restart execution will be decisive.

Race History

New Hampshire has hosted Cup Series racing since the early 1990s. Recent winners at the track include Ryan Blaney (defending) and strong performances from drivers such as Christopher Bell and Joey Logano in prior years. The flat nature often produces competitive, strategy-heavy races with multiple lead changes and late-race restarts deciding the outcome. It is traditionally one of the final opportunities to lock in playoff spots or improve seeding before the regular-season finale.

Betting Trends & Outlook

Trends favor drivers with strong flat-track and short-to-intermediate oval résumés, recent short-track success, and teams that excel at tire management and restarts. Weather introduces additional variables (possible wet tires, shortened race risk, or strategy swings). Stage points and finishing position will be heavily scrutinized given the proximity to the playoffs.

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Ryan Blaney                                       + 450

Christopher Bell                               + 500

Joey Logano                                       + 550

Denny Hamlin                                   + 600

Chase Briscoe                                    + 850

Kyle Larson                                         + 900

William Byron                                   + 1200

Ty Gibbs                                              + 1200

Josh Berry                                           + 1600

Tyler Reddick                                     + 1800

Chase Elliott                                       + 2200

Austin Cindric                                    + 3000

Bubba Wallace                                  + 3500

Ross Chastain                                    + 3500

Chris Buescher                                  + 6000

Carson Hocevar                                 + 6500

Brad Keselowski                              + 6500

Shane Van Gisbergen                    + 6500

Ryan Preece                                       + 8000

Austin Dillon                                      + 9000

Alex Bowman                                    + 9000

Daniel Suarez                                     + 10000

Connor Zilisch                                   + 10000

Michael McDowell                          + 13000

Erik Jones                                            + 13000

Riley Herbst                                       + 15000

AJ Allmendinger                              + 20000

Zane Smith                                         + 20000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 20000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 20000

Austin Hill                                           + 25000

Noah Gragson                                   + 25000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 30000

Ty Dillon                                              + 50000

Cole Custer                                         + 50000

Cody Ware                                          + 100000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, August 22, 2026