Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue Type: Slightly hitter‑leaning in summer; boosts HRs to LF.
WEATHER / PARK CONDITIONS
Chicago Forecast:
Temp: 87°F
Humidity: 59%
Wind: W 11 mph (blowing out to LF)
Precipitation: 10%
Conditions: Warm, clear evening
Weather + wind favor right‑handed pull hitters and HR potential.
PROBABLE PITCHERS
New York — LHP Max Fried
2026 Season: 9–6, 3.39 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
Elite command + ground‑ball profile
White Sox struggle vs. top‑tier lefties (team OPS .671 vs. LHP)
Road ERA: 3.61
Key strength: suppresses HRs, elite soft‑contact rate
Key vulnerability: occasional early fastball command dips
Chicago — RHP Drew Schultz
2026 Season: 6–5, 4.28 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Sinker/slider righty
Yankees crush sinkers (team SLG .494 vs. sinkers)
Home ERA: 4.02
Key strength: induces ground balls
Key vulnerability: left‑handed power (Soto, Judge, Rizzo)
CURRENT TEAM FORM
New York Yankees — Last 10 Games: 6–4
Offense averaging 4.9 runs/game
Bullpen stabilizing (3.44 ERA last 10)
Road record: 28–25
Strength: elite top‑order power
Weakness: bottom‑third lineup inconsistency
Chicago White Sox — Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense averaging 4.3 runs/game
Bullpen inconsistent (4.71 ERA last 10)
Home record: 30–22
Strength: young core (Montgomery, Ramos, Colas) producing
Weakness: high strikeout rate vs. elite command pitchers
INJURY REPORT
New York Yankees
OF Aaron Judge — Day‑to‑Day (quad)
RP Clay Holmes — 15‑Day IL (shoulder)
SP Carlos Rodón — IL (forearm)
C Austin Wells — Active
Chicago White Sox
SS Colson Montgomery — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
RP Garrett Crochet — 15‑Day IL (lat)
OF Luis Robert Jr. — IL (hip)
C Korey Lee — Active
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Max Fried vs. Eloy Jiménez
Jiménez vs. LHP: .244 AVG, .411 SLG
Fried’s curveball neutralizes Eloy’s power Edge: Fried
Max Fried vs. Colson Montgomery
Montgomery handles lefties well
Fried must avoid middle‑zone sliders Edge: Slight Montgomery (if active)
Drew Schultz vs. Juan Soto
Soto vs. sinkers: .322 AVG, .601 SLG
Schultz’s sinker is his primary pitch Edge: Soto
Drew Schultz vs. Aaron Judge
Judge vs. sliders: .298 AVG, .559 SLG
Schultz’s slider is inconsistent Edge: Judge (if active)
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: First meeting
Last 20 meetings: Yankees 13–7
At Guaranteed Rate Field (last 3 seasons): Yankees 10–5
Yankees have dominated White Sox in games started by elite LHP
BETTING TRENDS
New York
Yankees are 8–3 in Fried’s last 11 starts
Under is 10–4 in Yankees’ last 14 road games
Yankees are 6–2 in their last 8 games vs. Chicago
Chicago
White Sox are 4–8 in Schultz’s last 12 starts
Over is 9–4 in White Sox’s last 13 home games
White Sox are 3–7 in their last 10 games vs. teams above .500
Head‑to‑Head
Yankees have covered RL in 5 of last 7
Under has hit in 6 of last 10
Yankees have scored 5+ runs in 4 straight games vs. CHW
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Pitching WAR (2026)
Fried: 3.4 WAR
Schultz: 1.2 WAR
Team OPS (Last 30 Days)
Yankees: .742
White Sox: .718
Bullpen ERA (Last 15 Days)
Yankees: 3.51
White Sox: 4.63
Run Expectancy Model
Projected scoring:
Yankees: 4.9–5.6 runs
White Sox: 3.8–4.4 runs
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 140
Chicago White Sox 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 26, 2026
