Game 1 First Pitch 1:10 PM ET
Game 2 First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Venue Profile — Fenway Park
Location: 4 Jersey St, Boston, MA
Surface: Grass
Dimensions:
LF: 310 ft (Green Monster)
LC: 379 ft
CF: 390 ft
RC: 380 ft
RF: 302 ft (Pesky Pole)
Park Factors:
Boosts right‑handed pull power
Monster turns fly balls into doubles
RF corner rewards left‑handed hitters
High‑variance run environment
Weather Forecast
Game 1 (Afternoon):
Temperature: 84–88°F
Humidity: ~55%
Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to left
Rain: <10%
Impact:
Boost to RH power
Monster becomes extremely dangerous
Offense likely elevated
Game 2 (Evening):
Temperature: 78–82°F
Humidity: ~65%
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing toward RF
Impact:
Boost to LH hitters
Cooler air slightly suppresses HRs
Pitchers gain late‑game advantage
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco — OUT (administrative leave)
Shane McClanahan — OUT (elbow)
Brandon Lowe — Day‑to‑day (back)
Josh Lowe — OUT (hamstring)
Pete Fairbanks — OUT (forearm)
Boston Red Sox
Trevor Story — OUT (shoulder)
Rafael Devers — Day‑to‑day (quad)
Brayan Bello — OUT (elbow)
Kenley Jansen — OUT (hip)
Tyler O’Neill — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Team Form & Records
Tampa Bay Rays (56–38)
Last 10: 7–3
Run differential: +62
Strengths: elite bullpen, deep lineup, strong road performance
Weaknesses: injuries to key bats, rotation instability
Recent trend: offense surging; bullpen dominant
Boston Red Sox (46–48)
Last 10: 4–6
Run differential: –18
Strengths: RH power, athletic defense, strong home splits
Weaknesses: rotation depth, bullpen inconsistency
Recent trend: offense cooling; pitching struggling
Pitching Matchups — Double‑Header
Game 1 — Rays Starter TBD vs. Red Sox Starter TBD
(Both clubs typically use spot starters or bullpen games in double‑headers)
Rays Game 1 Profile:
Likely bulk innings from Yonny Chirinos or Tyler Alexander
Strong bullpen behind them
Matchup advantage vs. Boston’s low‑OBP lineup
Red Sox Game 1 Profile:
Likely Kutter Crawford or Cooper Criswell
Vulnerable to RH power
Rays’ lineup matches well
Game 2 — Rays Starter TBD vs. RHP Kutter Crawford / RHP Cooper Criswell
(Boston has used Crawford/Criswell interchangeably in DH situations)
Rays Game 2 Profile:
Strong bullpen depth
Likely 4–5 inning workload
Rays’ offense excels late in games
Red Sox Game 2 Profile:
Crawford/Criswell rely on command
Struggle vs. high‑contact teams
Rays’ lineup has major advantage
Key Player Matchups
Yandy Díaz vs. Red Sox Pitching
Elite contact hitter
Monster turns his line drives into doubles
Edge: Díaz
Rafael Devers vs. Rays Pitching (if active)
Rays struggle vs. elite LH power
Edge: Devers
Isaac Paredes vs. Boston RHP
Paredes crushes command‑first righties
Edge: Paredes
Jarren Duran vs. Rays Bullpen
Speed threat
Edge: Rays bullpen, but Duran can create runs
Series History
Rays vs. Red Sox all‑time: Red Sox lead 233–205
Last meeting (2025): Rays won series 3–1
At Fenway Park: Red Sox lead 130–95
Most games trend high‑scoring due to park factors
Betting Trends
Tampa Bay
Rays are 28–20 on the road
Rays are 9–3 in last 12 games
Under is 6–4 in Rays’ last 10 road games
Rays strong vs. command‑first RHP
Boston
Red Sox are 24–23 at home
Red Sox are 3–7 in last 10 games
Over is 7–3 in Red Sox home games
Boston struggles vs. elite bullpens
Totals Trends
Game 1: Over favored due to heat + wind
Game 2: Under favored due to cooler air + bullpen usage
Game 1 Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 8
Boston Red Sox – 110
Game 2 Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 9
Boston Red Sox – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, July 16, 2026
