Venue: Nationals Park
Location: Washington, D.C.
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET / 10:35 AM PT
Broadcast: YES Network / MASN / MLB.TV
Weather Update — Washington, D.C.
Temperature: 88–92°F at first pitch
Humidity: 65–75%
Wind: 6–10 mph (blowing out to left field)
Rain Chance: 20% (isolated thunderstorms possible)
Impact:
Hot, humid conditions → ball carries well
Boost for right‑handed pull hitters
Pitchers must manage fatigue in the heat
Team Records & Standings
New York Yankees — 53–42 (2nd in AL East)
Power‑heavy lineup
Rotation stabilizing after mid‑season injuries
Road record: 26–23
Washington Nationals — 48–48 (3rd in NL East)
Young roster trending upward
Rotation improving behind Cavalli
Home record: 24–24
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Aaron Judge — Probable (wrist)
Giancarlo Stanton — Out (hamstring)
Carlos Rodón — Out (shoulder)
Anthony Volpe — Questionable (illness)
Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams — Probable (ankle)
Josiah Gray — Out (forearm)
Lane Thomas — Out (back)
Keibert Ruiz — Questionable (illness)
Impact:
Yankees missing Stanton reduces middle‑order power.
Nationals missing Thomas weakens their best right‑handed bat.
Pitching Matchup — Will Warren (NYY) vs. Cade Cavalli (WSH)
New York Yankees — Will Warren (RHP)
Record: 5–3 ERA: 4.02 WHIP: 1.29 K/BB: Solid command Pitch Mix: Sinker, slider, cutter, changeup Scouting Notes:
Slider is his best swing‑and‑miss pitch
Generates ground balls effectively
Nationals’ lineup struggles vs. sinker/slider combinations
Must avoid elevated pitches in hot conditions
Washington Nationals — Cade Cavalli (RHP)
Record: 7–6 ERA: 3.68 WHIP: 1.22 K/BB: Strong strikeout profile Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, curveball, slider, changeup Scouting Notes:
Curveball is a legitimate out pitch
Can dominate right‑handed hitters
Yankees’ lineup struggles at times vs. elite breaking balls
Home park suits his fly‑ball tendencies
Recent Team Form
New York Yankees — Last 10 Games
6–4
Offense averaging 4.9 runs per game
Bullpen ERA: 3.41
Trending upward; strong late‑inning performance
Washington Nationals — Last 10 Games
5–5
Offense averaging 4.3 runs per game
Rotation ERA: 4.12
Competitive but inconsistent
Series History
All‑Time: Yankees lead 31–22
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
2026 Season Series: First meeting
At Nationals Park: Yankees have won 4 of last 6
Key Note: Yankees have scored 5+ runs in 7 of their last 10 games vs. Washington.
Key Player Matchups
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Cade Cavalli (WSH)
Judge: .278 AVG, 24 HR
Cavalli’s curveball can challenge Judge’s swing path Edge: Slight to Judge
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Nationals Bullpen
Soto: .291 AVG, 20 HR
Nationals bullpen ranks bottom‑third in WHIP Edge: Soto
CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Will Warren (NYY)
Abrams: .265 AVG, 12 HR, elite speed
Warren struggles vs. speed‑driven hitters Edge: Abrams
Joey Meneses (WSH) vs. Yankees Pitching
Meneses: .271 AVG, 14 HR
Yankees pitching struggles at times vs. disciplined right‑handed hitters Edge: Meneses
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Yankees | Nationals |
| Runs per Game | 4.92 | 4.31 |
| Team ERA | 3.89 | 4.28 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.45 | 4.12 |
| OPS | .748 | .708 |
| Home Runs | 127 | 98 |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +8 | +5 |
Key Insight: Yankees hold advantages in offense, pitching depth, and bullpen reliability.
Betting Trends
New York Yankees
7–3 in last 10 road games
6–2 in last 8 vs. NL East
Overs hit in 5 of last 7 Warren starts
Yankees 5–1 in last six Sunday games
Washington Nationals
5–5 in last 10 home games
3–7 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Unders hit in 6 of last 9 Cavalli starts
Nationals 2–5 in last seven day games
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Yankees have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Yankees average 5.2 runs per game vs. WSH since 2022
Nationals have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of last 10 vs. NYY
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 108
Washington Nationals 9.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 11, 2026
