First Pitch: 6:50 PM ET / 3:50 PM PT
Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida
Surface: Artificial Turf
Park Factor: Pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs to center and gaps
Weather Report — St. Petersburg, FL
Tropicana Field is a full‑time indoor dome, so outdoor weather does not affect gameplay.
Outdoor temperature: 89–92°F
Humidity: 70–80%
Wind: Irrelevant indoors
Impact:
Controlled indoor environment
Neutral‑to‑pitcher‑leaning
Favors command pitchers and teams with strong bullpen depth
Injury Report
New York Yankees
One bullpen arm on IL
Corner infielder day‑to‑day
Rotation healthy with Warren fully stretched out
Everyday lineup intact
Tampa Bay Rays
One reliever on IL
Middle‑order bat day‑to‑day
Seymour fully active
Core lineup healthy
Both teams enter the matchup relatively healthy.
Team Records & Statistical Profile
New York Yankees (50–40)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 23–22
Runs/Game: 4.68
Team ERA: 3.94
Trend: Offense streaky; pitching stabilizing
Season Arc: AL Wild Card contender
Tampa Bay Rays (52–36)
Last 10: 7–3
Home Record: 29–15
Runs/Game: 4.72
Team ERA: 3.81
Trend: Surging; elite home performance
Season Arc: AL East contender
Probable Pitchers
NYY — RHP Will Warren
Record: 5–4
ERA: 4.02
WHIP: 1.28
Profile:
Sinker/slider mix
Generates ground balls
Strong vs right‑handed hitters
Strengths: Keeps ball in park, ideal for Tropicana Field
Weaknesses: Can struggle vs left‑handed power
Matchup Note: Rays’ left‑handed bats (Aranda, Lowe) match well vs Warren’s sinker.
TB — LHP Ian Seymour
Record: 6–3
ERA: 3.44
WHIP: 1.17
Profile:
Fastball/slider/changeup
Strong strikeout rate
Excellent at home
Strengths: Neutralizes left‑handed bats
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses vs right‑handed power
Matchup Note: Yankees’ right‑handed core (Judge, Stanton, Torres) fits well vs Seymour.
Key Player Matchups
Yankees Offense vs Ian Seymour
Aaron Judge: .285, 22 HR — elite vs LHP
Giancarlo Stanton: .250, 18 HR — perfect matchup vs Seymour’s fastball
Gleyber Torres: .265, strong vs sliders
Edge: Yankees — right‑handed power advantage.
Rays Offense vs Will Warren
Jonathan Aranda: .275, 12 HR — strong vs sinkers
Brandon Lowe: .260, 15 HR — left‑handed power threat
Yandy Díaz: .290, elite contact profile
Edge: Rays — left‑handed bats match well vs Warren.
Series History
Rays lead recent meetings
Rays have won 6 of last 9 vs Yankees
At Tropicana Field: Rays have won 7 of last 10
Yankees have scored 3 or fewer in 5 of last 7 at Tropicana
This matchup has leaned Tampa Bay at home.
Betting Trends
New York Yankees
5–5 last 10
3–4 last 7 road games
Overs hit in 6 of last 10
Bullpen inconsistent
Tampa Bay Rays
7–3 last 10
6–1 last 7 home games
Unders hit in 7 of last 10
Favorites in most home games
Head‑to‑Head
Rays have covered run line in 4 of last 6
Unders hit in 5 of last 8
GAME ODDS
New York Yankees 8
Tampa Bay Rays – 116
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, July 6, 2026
