T-Mobile Park — Seattle, WA
First Pitch: 1:10 PM PDT
Venue & Conditions
T-Mobile Park
Surface: Natural grass
Dimensions: 331 LF / 401 CF / 326 RF
Ballpark Profile: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; marine air suppresses carry, especially during day games.
Weather Forecast — Seattle, WA
Temperature: 72–76°F
Conditions: Partly cloudy, mild
Wind: Blowing in from LF at 6–10 mph
Rain Chance: ~10%
Impact: Cooler air + inward wind favors pitchers; HRs to LF may die early.
Team Overview
Toronto Blue Jays (42–47)
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Road Record: 19–25
Run Differential: -34
Recent Form: Rotation competitive; offense inconsistent; bullpen volatile.
Seattle Mariners (46–44)
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Home Record: 25–20
Run Differential: +11
Recent Form: Pitching strong; offense improving; bullpen stabilizing.
Starting Pitchers
Toronto — RHP Yesavage
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.71
WHIP: 1.23
K/9: 9.6
BB/9: 2.9
Recent Starts: 6 IP, 2 ER; 5.2 IP, 4 ER; 7 IP, 1 ER
Profile:
Power fastball/slider combo
Generates swing‑and‑miss
Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters when slider flattens
Matchup Outlook:
Mariners’ lefties (Crawford, Raley, France from left side) pose challenges
Marine air helps Yesavage’s fly‑ball tendencies
Seattle — RHP Emerson Hancock
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.64
WHIP: 1.20
K/9: 8.7
BB/9: 2.5
Recent Starts: 7 IP, 1 ER; 6 IP, 3 ER; 5 IP, 2 ER
Profile:
Sinker/slider mix
Generates ground balls
Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters
Matchup Outlook:
Blue Jays’ right‑handed core (Guerrero Jr., Bichette, Springer) must adjust to Hancock’s sinker
Inward wind reduces HR threat for Toronto’s power bats
Injury Report
Toronto
OUT:
RP Jordan Romano — elbow inflammation
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Daulton Varsho — minor knee soreness
ACTIVE:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fully healthy
Bo Bichette available
Seattle
OUT:
RP Matt Brash — shoulder strain
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Julio Rodríguez — minor back tightness
ACTIVE:
J.P. Crawford fully healthy
Ty France available
Key Player Matchups
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Emerson Hancock (SEA)
Guerrero Jr. handles sinkers well
Hancock must avoid middle‑in locations
2. J.P. Crawford (SEA) vs. Yesavage (TOR)
Crawford excels vs. high‑velocity fastballs
Yesavage must keep slider sharp
3. Bo Bichette (TOR) vs. Mariners Bullpen
Bichette’s late‑inning approach is elite
Seattle’s bullpen has improved but still allows hard contact vs. righties
4. Ty France (SEA) vs. Yesavage
France’s contact skills challenge Yesavage’s swing‑and‑miss profile
Marine air boosts France’s gap‑to‑gap game
Series History
2026 Season Series: First meeting
Last 10 Meetings: Mariners lead 6–4
Trend: Seattle has matched up well vs. Toronto’s pitching; Blue Jays struggle at T-Mobile Park.
Recent Team Form
Blue Jays
Offense averaging 4.1 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 3.82
Bullpen ERA: 4.88
Mariners
Offense averaging 4.5 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 3.44
Bullpen ERA: 3.61
Betting Trends
Blue Jays are 3–7 in their last 10 road games
Mariners are 7–3 in their last 10 home games
Under has hit in 6 of last 9 Mariners home games
Seattle is 10–5 in Hancock’s last 15 starts
Toronto is 4–8 in Yesavage’s last 12 starts
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 123
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 4, 2026
