Venue: Busch Stadium – St. Louis, Missouri
First Pitch: 1:15 PM CT / 2:15 PM ET / 11:15 AM PT
Probable Pitchers: MIA – RHP Trevor Phillips vs. STL – RHP Gordon Leahy
Venue Profile – Busch Stadium
Type: Outdoor
Dimensions:
LF: 336 ft
CF: 400 ft
RF: 335 ft
Park Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Suppresses HRs to center
Boosts doubles into the gaps
Impact:
Ground‑ball pitchers thrive
Right‑handed power is muted
Weather can meaningfully affect scoring
Weather Forecast – St. Louis, MO
Temperature: 84–87°F
Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to left‑center
Humidity: 55–60%
Conditions: Mostly sunny
Impact:
Slight boost to deep fly balls
Warm air increases carry
Still a moderate pitcher’s park overall
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. – ACTIVE
Jake Burger – ACTIVE
Josh Bell – ACTIVE
Jesús Luzardo – OUT (elbow)
Max Meyer – DAY‑TO‑DAY (shoulder fatigue)
St. Louis Cardinals
Paul Goldschmidt – ACTIVE
Nolan Arenado – ACTIVE
Masyn Winn – ACTIVE
Sonny Gray – OUT (forearm)
Willson Contreras – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hand)
Team Records & Recent Form
Miami Marlins (44–39)
Last 5: 4–1 (per live feed)
Road Record: 22–20
Runs Scored: 4.4 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.2 per game
Trend:
One of the hottest teams in baseball
Pitching stabilizing
Offense producing timely hits
St. Louis Cardinals (42–38)
Last 5: 1–4 (per live feed)
Home Record: 21–18
Runs Scored: 4.3 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.4 per game
Trend:
Offense inconsistent
Pitching staff struggling with injuries
Bullpen overworked
Series History
Season Series: Marlins lead 2–0 (based on your previous previews)
Last 10 Meetings: Marlins lead 6–4
At Busch Stadium (last 3 seasons): Cardinals 8–7
Key Trend:
Miami’s pitching has dominated the matchup this season
St. Louis struggles vs. right‑handed power arms
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
MIA – RHP Trevor Phillips
Record: 3–3
ERA: 4.12
WHIP: 1.28
K/9: 8.7
Recent Starts:
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. STL
5.1 IP, 3 ER vs. PIT
7.0 IP, 1 ER vs. ARI
Scouting Notes:
Heavy sinker/slider mix
Generates ground balls at a high rate
Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters
Busch Stadium fits his profile perfectly
Matchup Outlook: Phillips’ ability to induce ground balls neutralizes St. Louis’ right‑handed power core.
STL – RHP Gordon Leahy
Record: 2–4
ERA: 4.77
WHIP: 1.36
K/9: 7.9
Recent Starts:
5.0 IP, 4 ER vs. MIA
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. CHC
4.1 IP, 5 ER vs. LAD
Scouting Notes:
Relies on command and soft contact
Struggles vs. left‑handed power
Vulnerable early in games
Matchup Outlook: Miami’s left‑handed bats (Chisholm, Sánchez) are a major threat.
Key Player Matchups
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Leahy
Edge: Marlins Chisholm crushes right‑handed pitching and thrives in warm weather.
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Phillips
Edge: Even Goldschmidt handles sinkers well, but Phillips’ slider is a tough matchup.
Jake Burger (MIA) vs. Leahy
Edge: Marlins Burger’s pull power plays well to left field at Busch.
Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Phillips
Edge: Marlins Arenado has struggled vs. high‑spin sliders this season.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Marlins | Cardinals | Edge |
| OPS | .742 | .728 | Marlins |
| HR | 92 | 84 | Marlins |
| Team ERA | 4.09 | 4.41 | Marlins |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.88 | 4.32 | Marlins |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +8 | +5 | Marlins |
Miami holds advantages across the board.
Betting Trends
Marlins are 4–1 in their last 5
Cardinals are 1–4 in their last 5
Marlins overs have hit in 6 of last 9
Cardinals have allowed 5+ runs in 7 of last 10
Miami is 7–3 in last 10 vs. STL
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 9
St. Louis Cardinals – 123
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 27, 2026
