Venue: Progressive Field – Cleveland, Ohio
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET / 10:40 AM PT
Probable Pitchers: SEA – RHP Emerson Hancock vs. CLE – RHP Gavin Williams
Venue Profile – Progressive Field
Type: Outdoor
Dimensions:
LF: 325 ft
CF: 405 ft
RF: 325 ft
Park Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Suppresses HRs to center
Boosts doubles into the alleys
Impact:
Both starters benefit from the park’s HR suppression
Right‑handed hitters with pull power (Ramírez, Raleigh) still dangerous
Weather Forecast – Cleveland, OH
Temperature: 79–82°F
Wind: 7–11 mph blowing out to right
Humidity: 55–60%
Conditions: Partly cloudy
Impact:
Slight boost to left‑handed power
Warm air helps carry fly balls
Still a moderate pitcher’s environment overall
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez – ACTIVE
Cal Raleigh – ACTIVE
J.P. Crawford – ACTIVE
Bryce Miller – OUT (shoulder)
Matt Brash – OUT (elbow)
Cleveland Guardians
José Ramírez – ACTIVE
Steven Kwan – ACTIVE
Josh Naylor – ACTIVE
Shane Bieber – OUT (elbow)
Triston McKenzie – DAY‑TO‑DAY (forearm tightness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Seattle Mariners (42–42)
Last 10: 3–7
Road Record: 19–23
Runs Scored: 4.1 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.3 per game
Trend:
Offense inconsistent
Pitching stabilizing but bullpen taxed
Cleveland Guardians (43–40)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 24–18
Runs Scored: 4.4 per game
Runs Allowed: 4.2 per game
Trend:
Lineup improving
Rotation inconsistent but bullpen strong
Series History
Season Series: Guardians lead 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Even, 5–5
At Progressive Field (last 3 seasons): Guardians 8–6
Key Trend:
Games between these teams tend to be low‑scoring early, high‑leverage late
Cleveland’s bullpen has dominated the late innings in this matchup
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
SEA – RHP Emerson Hancock
Record: 4–5
ERA: 4.22
WHIP: 1.29
K/9: 7.8
Recent Starts:
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. PIT
5.1 IP, 4 ER vs. MIN
7.0 IP, 1 ER vs. OAK
Scouting Notes:
Sinker/slider combo
Generates weak contact when ahead in counts
Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters
Road performance inconsistent
Matchup Outlook: Cleveland’s left‑handed bats (Kwan, Naylor) are a challenge for Hancock’s pitch mix.
CLE – RHP Gavin Williams
Record: 5–4
ERA: 3.68
WHIP: 1.18
K/9: 9.4
Recent Starts:
6.0 IP, 1 ER vs. KC
5.2 IP, 3 ER vs. DET
7.0 IP, 2 ER vs. TEX
Scouting Notes:
Power fastball (96–98)
Sharp curveball generates whiffs
Can be homer‑prone when elevated
Excellent at home
Matchup Outlook: Seattle’s strikeout‑prone lineup is vulnerable to Williams’ velocity.
Key Player Matchups
Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Williams
Edge: Guardians Rodríguez struggles vs. high‑velocity fastballs up in the zone.
José Ramírez (CLE) vs. Hancock
Edge: Guardians Ramírez feasts on sinkerballers and thrives at Progressive Field.
Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Williams
Edge: Even Raleigh’s power plays well vs. elevated fastballs, but Williams’ curveball is a problem.
Josh Naylor (CLE) vs. Hancock
Edge: Guardians Naylor crushes right‑handed pitching and is red‑hot at home.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Mariners | Guardians | Edge |
| OPS | .705 | .736 | Guardians |
| HR | 88 | 94 | Guardians |
| Team ERA | 4.12 | 3.89 | Guardians |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.98 | 3.41 | Guardians |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +14 | +9 | Mariners |
Cleveland holds the offensive and pitching edge; Seattle holds the defensive edge.
Betting Trends
Mariners are 3–7 in their last 10
Guardians are 6–2 in their last 8 home games
Mariners unders have hit in 6 of last 9
Guardians have scored 4+ runs in 7 of last 10
Williams is 4–1 in his last 5 home starts
Game Odds
Seattle Mariners 7.5
Cleveland Guardians – 113
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 27, 2026
