Petco Park, San Diego, CA
First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET
Broadcast: SportsNet LA / Bally Sports San Diego / MLB.tv
Probable Pitchers:
LAD — RHP Rōki Sasaki (8–2, 2.41 ERA)
SD — RHP Walker Buehler (5–4, 3.77 ERA)
Venue Information — Petco Park
Location: San Diego, California
Capacity: ~40,200
Dimensions: LF 336 ft, CF 396 ft, RF 322 ft
Ballpark Tendencies:
One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks
Suppresses home runs to center and right‑center
Night games especially favor pitchers
Weather Forecast (San Diego, CA)
Temperature: 72°F at first pitch
Wind: 7 mph blowing in from left
Humidity: 68%
Conditions: Clear, mild coastal evening Impact: Slight pitcher’s advantage; run scoring likely suppressed.
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts — OUT (hand fracture, 10‑day IL)
Max Muncy — OUT (oblique strain)
Clayton Kershaw — OUT (shoulder rehab)
Evan Phillips — ACTIVE (returned from forearm tightness)
Jason Heyward — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back stiffness)
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. — ACTIVE (returned from quad tightness)
Xander Bogaerts — OUT (wrist fracture)
Joe Musgrove — OUT (elbow inflammation)
Robert Suarez — OUT (lat strain)
Luis Campusano — DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle soreness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers (52–29)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 25–17
Run Differential: +92
Trend: Pitching dominant; offense still elite despite injuries.
San Diego Padres (42–37)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 20–19
Run Differential: +18
Trend: Rotation stabilizing; offense inconsistent without Bogaerts.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Rōki Sasaki — RHP, Dodgers
2026 Stats: 8–2, 2.41 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 112 K in 93 IP**
Strengths
Triple‑digit fastball
Devastating splitter (45% whiff rate)
Elite command
Dominant vs. both lefties and righties
Excellent road performance
Weaknesses
Occasionally homer‑prone when splitter stays up
Padres have several hitters who excel vs. velocity
Must avoid middle‑in to Machado and Tatis
Matchup vs. Padres
San Diego ranks bottom‑10 vs. elite splitters
Sasaki’s pitch mix is a nightmare matchup
Petco Park enhances his strengths
Walker Buehler — RHP, Padres
2026 Stats: 5–4, 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 74 K in 78 IP**
Strengths
Excellent fastball/curveball combo
Big‑game experience
Strong command when ahead in counts
Historically strong vs. Dodgers
Weaknesses
Velocity not fully back to pre‑injury levels
Dodgers’ lineup punishes mistakes
Struggles vs. left‑handed power
Matchup vs. Dodgers
LAD ranks top‑5 vs. curveballs
Freeman, Smith, and Pages all profile well
Must keep ball down to avoid HRs to right field
Key Player Matchups
Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Buehler
Elite vs. curveballs and cutters
Buehler must avoid middle‑away Edge: Freeman
Will Smith (LAD) vs. RHP
Excellent vs. high‑spin fastballs
Buehler’s fastball may not challenge him Edge: Smith
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs. Sasaki
Elite bat speed
But struggles vs. elite splitters Edge: Sasaki
Manny Machado (SD) vs. RHP
Good vs. velocity
Sasaki must rely on splitter/slider mix Edge: Even
Series History
2024–2026 Combined
Dodgers lead 23–14
LAD has won 7 of last 10 at Petco Park
Average total runs: 8.0 per game
2026 Season Series
Dodgers lead 3–1
Sasaki threw 7 shutout innings vs. SD in April
Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers
7 of last 10: UNDER
6–1 in Sasaki’s last 7 starts
8–3 in last 11 road games
10–4 last 14 vs. NL West
San Diego Padres
6 of last 9: OVER
4–6 in last 10 home games
2–5 in Buehler’s last 7 starts
3–9 last 12 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers – 138
San Diego Padres 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 25, 2026
