Citi Field, Queens, NY
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Probables: CHC — Shōta Imanaga (LHP) vs NYM — Kodai Senga (RHP)
VENUE: CITI FIELD
Location: 41 Seaver Way, Queens, NY
Dimensions: 335 LF, 408 CF, 330 RF
Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly, suppresses HRs to center
Surface: Grass
Citi Field plays big in early summer, especially at night — a meaningful factor with two high‑end starters.
WEATHER FORECAST (as of 6/22 AM)
Temperature: 79°F at first pitch
Wind: 8–12 mph in from right‑center
Humidity: 58%
Chance of Rain: <10%
Impact: Pitcher‑friendly — wind blowing in reduces HR carry
INJURY REPORT
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki — ACTIVE (rest day Sunday, fully available)
Dansby Swanson — OUT (oblique strain)
Christopher Morel — ACTIVE (ankle soreness, probable)
Jordan Wicks — OUT (forearm)
Adbert Alzolay — OUT (shoulder)
New York Mets
Pete Alonso — ACTIVE (hand bruise, expected to play)
Francisco Lindor — ACTIVE (back tightness, probable)
Starling Marte — OUT (hip)
Luis Severino — OUT (lat strain)
Brooks Raley — OUT (elbow)
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
Shōta Imanaga — LHP, Cubs
2026 Season:
Record: 8–3
ERA: 2.77
WHIP: 1.05
K/BB: 94/18
Last 5 Starts: 2.41 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
Elite command + deceptive fastball
Mets rank bottom‑third vs LHP in OPS
Imanaga’s splitter neutralizes Alonso/Lindor
Road ERA (3.01) nearly identical to home
Matchup Edge: Strong
Kodai Senga — RHP, Mets
2026 Season:
Record: 5–6
ERA: 3.66
WHIP: 1.24
K/BB: 89/33
Last 5 Starts: 3.92 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
Ghost fork still elite (41% whiff rate)
Cubs rank middle‑of‑the‑pack vs RHP, but struggle vs elite splitters
Walks remain an issue — Cubs are top‑10 in OBP
Senga excellent at Citi Field (career ERA under 3.00)
Matchup Edge: Moderate
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Chicago Cubs (40–37)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 18–20
Run Differential: +19
Trend: Pitching stabilizing, offense inconsistent without Swanson
Strength: Rotation depth + plate discipline
Weakness: Middle‑infield production
New York Mets (34–43)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 17–22
Run Differential: –31
Trend: Bullpen shaky, offense streaky
Strength: Top‑heavy lineup (Alonso, Lindor)
Weakness: Bottom‑third bullpen + poor situational hitting
SERIES HISTORY
2024–2026 Combined: Cubs lead 12–8
At Citi Field: Cubs have won 5 of last 7
Imanaga vs Mets: First career start
Senga vs Cubs: 3.50 ERA in 3 career starts
BETTING TRENDS
Chicago
7–3 in last 10 vs losing teams
Under is 6–2 in last 8
Imanaga starts: Cubs are 10–4
New York
3–7 in last 10 home games
Under is 5–2 in last 7 at Citi Field
Senga starts: Mets are 6–8
Head‑to‑Head
Under has hit in 5 of last 7
Cubs have covered RL in 4 of last 6
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs – 121
New York Mets 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, June 21, 2026
