NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Anduril 250

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Green Flag: 3:00 PM ET (2:00 PM CT)

Broadcast: FOX • MRN • SiriusXM NASCAR Radio

The Cup Series returns to Iowa for the Anduril 250 — a short‑track, high‑intensity summer showdown that has quickly become one of the most entertaining races on the schedule. With championship implications tightening and several drivers peaking at the right time, this year’s edition sets up as a tactical, tire‑wear chess match with late‑race fireworks.

VENUE & TRACK PROFILE — IOWA SPEEDWAY

Track Specs

  • Length: 0.875 miles (7/8‑mile short oval)
  • Banking:
    • Turns 1 & 2: 12–14°
    • Turns 3 & 4: 10–12°
  • Frontstretch: 1,075 feet
  • Backstretch: 1,350 feet
  • Surface: Worn asphalt
  • Race Distance: 250 laps / 218.75 miles
  • Stage Lengths: 70 • 70 • 110

Track Characteristics

  • Progressive banking creates three usable grooves.
  • High tire wear — long‑run speed is critical.
  • Restarts are chaotic, especially into Turn 1.
  • Drivers who can roll the middle lane often dominate late.

WEATHER CONDITIONS — JUNE 21, 2026 (NEWTON, IA)

  • Temperature: 84–87°F
  • Wind: 10–14 mph from the southwest, blowing across the backstretch
  • Humidity: 50–55%
  • Rain: <10% chance — clear, hot, slick track
  • Impact:
    • Hot track = loose conditions early
    • Wind may unsettle cars entering Turn 3
    • Expect fall‑off of 1.5–2 seconds over a long run

TEAM & DRIVER STATUS REPORT

Notable Cup Series Notes

  • Kyle Larson: 100% after minor soreness from Gateway crash.
  • Christopher Bell: Team brought a new chassis after Pocono mechanical failure.
  • Ryan Blaney: No injury concerns; Penske focusing on qualifying trim.
  • Chase Elliott: Running backup car after practice wall contact.
  • Ty Gibbs: Crew chief returns after one‑race suspension.

RECENT DRIVER FORM — TOP CONTENDERS

Kyle Larson

  • Last 5: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 7th, 3rd
  • Best short‑track driver in the series; Iowa suits his style.

Christopher Bell

  • Last 5: 3rd, 5th, 12th, 1st, 8th
  • Elite on worn short ovals; JGR strong at Iowa historically.

Denny Hamlin

  • Last 5: 7th, 9th, 2nd, 3rd, 6th
  • Veteran mastery of multi‑groove tracks.

Ty Gibbs

  • Last 5: 4th, 11th, 6th, 8th, 2nd
  • Breakout season continues; Iowa fits his rhythm.

Joey Logano

  • Last 5: 10th, 14th, 3rd, 5th, 9th
  • Excellent on restarts — a major Iowa advantage.

RACE HISTORY — ANDURIL 250 / IOWA CUP EVENTS

Cup Series returned to Iowa in 2024; the Anduril 250 has quickly become a fan favorite.

Last 3 Iowa Cup Winners

  • 2025: Kyle Larson
  • 2024: Christopher Bell
  • 2023: (No Cup race — track reintroduced in 2024)

Key Trends

  • Toyota has won 2 of the last 3 Iowa Cup races.
  • Average green‑flag run: 42 laps.
  • Late cautions common: 2 of last 3 races ended with a restart inside 15 laps.
  • High lane becomes dominant in the final 50 laps.

DRIVER MATCHUPS TO WATCH

Kyle Larson vs. Christopher Bell

  • The two best short‑track drivers in the field.
  • Larson dominates the high lane; Bell excels on the bottom.

Denny Hamlin vs. Joey Logano

  • Both elite restarters.
  • Hamlin better on long runs; Logano better on short sprints.

Ty Gibbs vs. William Byron

  • Gibbs has better corner entry; Byron has better exit speed.
  • Both trending upward.

Ross Chastain vs. Ryan Blaney

  • Chastain aggressive in traffic; Blaney smoother on long runs.
  • Iowa rewards both styles depending on lane choice.

PROJECTED RACE OUTLOOK & MODEL PREDICTION

Race Shape

  • Early: Bottom lane preferred
  • Middle: Middle groove comes alive
  • Late: Larson, Bell, and Gibbs migrate to the high lane
  • Expect long green‑flag runs with late‑race chaos

Model Top 5 Prediction

  1. Kyle Larson
  2. Christopher Bell
  3. Ty Gibbs
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Joey Logano

Dark Horse: Ross Chastain (P6–P8 range)

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Shane Van Gisbergen                    − 190

Tyler Reddick                                     + 700

Kyle Larson                                         + 850

Connor Zilisch                                   + 850

Ty Gibbs                                              + 1000

Chase Elliott                                       + 1600

Michael McDowell                          + 2200

Chase Briscoe                                    + 2500

Chris Buescher                                  + 2800

William Byron                                   + 2800

Christopher Bell                               + 3000

AJ Allmendinger                              + 3000

Kevin Magnussen                            + 3500

Ross Chastain                                    + 4000

Ryan Blaney                                       + 4500

Denny Hamlin                                   + 4500

Daniel Suarez                                     + 4500

Joey Logano                                       + 7500

Corey Heim                                        + 9000

Carson Hocevar                                 + 9000

Austin Hill                                           + 9000

Alex Bowman                                    + 9000

Ryan Preece                                       + 10000

Austin Cindric                                    + 11000              

Brad Keselowski                              + 12000

Erik Jones                                            + 13000

Bubba Wallace                                  + 13000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 20000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 20000

Jimmie Johnson                               + 20000

Noah Gragson                                   + 25000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 30000

Austin Dillon                                      + 30000

Zane Smith                                         + 30000

Cole Custer                                         + 40000

Ty Dillon                                              + 50000

Riley Herbst                                       + 50000

Josh Berry                                           + 50000

Cody Ware                                          + 60000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 20, 2026