Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
First Pitch: 1:37 PM ET
Probable Pitchers:
NYY — Will Warren (RHP) vs. TOR — Patrick Corbin (LHP)
Broadcast: YES Network / Sportsnet / MLB.TV
The Yankees and Blue Jays wrap up their AL East weekend set with New York looking to secure another series win and maintain pressure on Baltimore atop the division. Toronto, meanwhile, is trying to claw back to .500 and stabilize a season defined by inconsistent pitching and streaky offense.
This matchup features two pitchers trending in different directions: Will Warren, who has emerged as a reliable mid‑rotation arm for New York, and Patrick Corbin, the veteran lefty whose command and durability remain question marks.
Venue & Weather
Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario
- Roof: Retractable — expected to be closed due to warm, humid conditions
- Dimensions: 328 ft (LF), 375 ft (LCF), 400 ft (CF), 375 ft (RCF), 328 ft (RF)
- Park Factor: Neutral with roof closed; slightly hitter‑friendly with roof open
- Surface: Artificial turf
Weather Forecast (Outside)
- Temperature: 82–85°F
- Humidity: 65–70%
- Wind: 6–10 mph
- Impact:
- With the roof closed, weather has no direct effect on gameplay
- Turf plays fast → boosts ground‑ball singles and gap power
Injury Report
New York Yankees
- Aaron Judge — Probable (minor toe soreness)
- Giancarlo Stanton — OUT (hamstring)
- Carlos Rodón — OUT (forearm)
- Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)
Impact: Judge’s availability is crucial. Stanton’s absence removes a major RH power threat. Bullpen depth is slightly compromised without Loáisiga.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette — OUT (knee sprain)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Probable (wrist soreness)
- Kevin Gausman — OUT (shoulder)
- Jordan Romano — OUT (elbow)
Impact: Bichette’s absence significantly weakens Toronto’s lineup. Romano’s injury leaves the closer role unsettled.
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (42–27)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 20–15
- Runs/Game: 4.92
- Team ERA: 3.71
- Trend: Rotation strong; offense streaky but powerful; bullpen reliable
Toronto Blue Jays (34–37)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 18–18
- Runs/Game: 4.21
- Team ERA: 4.39
- Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching depth stretched; bullpen unstable
Series History (2026 Season)
- Yankees lead season series 4–2
- New York has won 8 of the last 11 meetings
- Rogers Centre has been favorable to Yankees RH power in recent years
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
NYY — Will Warren (RHP)
Record: 5–3 ERA: 3.66 WHIP: 1.22 K/BB: 62/21 Last 3 Starts: 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Profile: Warren has emerged as a dependable starter with a strong sinker/slider combo and improved command. He induces ground balls and limits hard contact.
Keys to Success:
- Keep sinker low vs. Guerrero Jr.
- Avoid middle‑in fastballs to Springer
- Use slider early to neutralize RH power
TOR — Patrick Corbin (LHP)
Record: 2–6 ERA: 5.14 WHIP: 1.48 K/BB: 41/18 Last 3 Starts: 6.10 ERA, 1.55 WHIP
Profile: Corbin continues to struggle with command and velocity decline. His slider remains effective when sharp, but he is vulnerable to RH power — a major concern against the Yankees.
Keys to Success:
- Keep slider away from Judge
- Avoid falling behind in counts
- Induce soft contact early to limit pitch count
Key Player Matchups
1. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Patrick Corbin
- Judge crushes LHP
- Corbin must avoid elevated sliders
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Will Warren
- Guerrero’s bat speed matches up well with Warren’s sinker
- Warren must keep the ball down and away
3. Anthony Volpe (NYY) vs. Blue Jays Bullpen
- Volpe’s speed and improved OBP pressure Toronto’s shaky relief corps
4. George Springer (TOR) vs. Warren’s Slider
- Springer punishes hanging breaking balls
- Warren must bury the slider consistently
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 7–3 in their last 10 road games
- Blue Jays are 3–7 in their last 10 overall
- Over is 6–2 in Yankees’ last 8 games
- Under is 5–3 in Toronto’s last 8 home games
- Yankees are 5–1 in Warren’s last 6 starts
- Blue Jays are 2–6 in Corbin’s last 8 starts
Predictive Analysis
This matchup strongly favors New York:
Yankees advantages:
- Clear starting pitching edge
- More lineup depth
- Better bullpen
- Strong recent form
Blue Jays advantages:
- Guerrero Jr. can change a game
- Corbin occasionally flashes vintage slider command
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 122
Toronto Blue Jays 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 13, 2026
