Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio
First Pitch: 6:10 PM ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Detroit / Bally Sports Great Lakes / MLB.TV
Weather Forecast — Cleveland, OH
- Temperature: 77–80°F at first pitch
- Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to right field
- Humidity: ~62%
- Rain: <15% — slight chance of a passing sprinkle, but game expected to play dry
- Impact: Boost to left-handed power, especially balls hit to right-center.
Injury Report
Detroit Tigers
- SP Casey Mize — OUT (elbow fatigue)
- RP Alex Lange — 15-day IL (shoulder)
- OF Riley Greene — Day-to-day (ankle soreness; likely to play)
- 3B Colt Keith — OUT (wrist fracture)
Cleveland Guardians
- SP Shane Bieber — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
- RP Trevor Stephan — 60-day IL (elbow)
- OF Steven Kwan — Probable (hamstring tightness; expected to return)
- 1B Josh Naylor — Day-to-day (back tightness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Detroit Tigers (29–41)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Trend: Offense ice-cold; pitching competitive but unsupported.
- Road Record: 13–22
- Run Differential: -48
- Key Note: Tigers averaging just 3.4 runs per game over last 15.
Cleveland Guardians (38–33)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend: Pitching carrying the load; offense inconsistent but timely.
- Home Record: 20–14
- Run Differential: +21
- Key Note: Guardians have won 7 of last 9 at Progressive Field.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Detroit — LHP Tarik Skubal
- Record: 5–6
- ERA: 3.42
- WHIP: 1.17
- K/BB: 92/21
- Profile:
- Power lefty with elite fastball/changeup combo.
- Generates above-average whiffs and weak contact.
- Vulnerable when behind in counts — occasional HR issues.
- Matchup Notes:
- Guardians struggle vs high-velocity lefties.
- Skubal has a 2.98 ERA in night games this season.
Cleveland — LHP Joey Cantillo
- Record: 3–3
- ERA: 4.28
- WHIP: 1.33
- K/BB: 48/19
- Profile:
- Young lefty with deceptive fastball and sweeping slider.
- Command can be inconsistent; walks can pile up.
- Home ERA: 3.61, better than road.
- Matchup Notes:
- Tigers rank bottom-5 in MLB vs left-handed pitching.
- Cantillo’s slider is a strong matchup vs Detroit’s righty-heavy lineup.
Key Player Matchups
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene vs Cantillo: Greene handles lefties better than most Tigers; key bat.
- Spencer Torkelson: Power threat but struggles vs sliders; volatile matchup.
- Kerry Carpenter: Hot bat (.302 last 15 games); strong vs fastballs.
Cleveland Guardians
- José Ramírez vs Skubal: J-Ram has hit Skubal well historically; elite vs lefties.
- Gunnar Kwan (if active): High-contact bat; neutralizes velocity.
- Bo Naylor: Power threat vs lefties; could be a sneaky factor.
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Guardians lead 27–18
- At Progressive Field: Guardians lead 15–7
- Trend: Cleveland has won 8 of last 10 at home vs Detroit.
Betting Trends
Detroit
- Tigers 2–8 last 10 road games
- Under in 6 of last 9
- Skubal starts: Tigers 3–7 last 10
Cleveland
- Guardians 7–2 last 9 home games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7
- Guardians 6–3 in Cantillo’s last 9 starts
Head-to-Head
- Guardians 12–4 in last 16 meetings
- Under is 9–4 in last 13 matchups
Game Odds
Detroit Tigers – 132
Cleveland Guardians 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 12, 2026
