Post Time: 4:45 PM PT
Purse: $100,000 —
1¼ Miles (10 furlongs) — Turf —
Fillies & Mares, 3‑Year‑Olds & Up
Venue Information
Santa Anita Park Arcadia, California
One of America’s premier turf racing venues
1‑mile turf oval with a long stretch that rewards sustained late kick
Turf course typically firm in June
Inside posts have slight advantage in long‑distance turf routes
Weather and course conditions often favor stalkers and deep closers
Expected Weather Conditions
Temperature: 84–87°F
Sky: Sunny
Humidity: ~30%
Wind: 5–8 mph (light tailwind down the stretch)
Turf Condition: Firm
Impact:
Firm turf boosts late‑kick specialists
Front‑runners must ration energy over 10 furlongs
European‑style grinders and strong finishers get ideal setup
FULL FIELD ANALYSIS
(Morning line odds are projections based on typical Santa Anita stakes pricing.)
POST 1 — TURF GODDESS
ML Odds: 5–1 Trainer: Phil D’Amato Jockey: Antonio Fresu Recent Finishes: 3rd, 1st, 2nd Profile: A rail‑draw filly with tactical speed and a trainer who dominates SoCal turf routes. She’s consistent, durable, and has run her best races at Santa Anita. Strengths: Rail draw, tactical foot, elite turf trainer Concerns: Must avoid getting boxed in Projected Trip: Saves ground, sits 3rd or 4th early
POST 2 — BELLA TEMPESTA
ML Odds: 12–1 Trainer: Michael McCarthy Jockey: Umberto Rispoli Recent Finishes: 5th, 4th, 3rd Profile: A grinding closer who needs a strong pace. Rispoli is one of the best turf riders in California, especially with deep closers. Strengths: Late stamina, strong finishing fractions Concerns: Pace scenario may not collapse Projected Trip: Drops back early, makes one long run
POST 3 — QUEEN OF THE GREEN
ML Odds: 7–2 Trainer: Richard Mandella Jockey: Juan Hernandez Recent Finishes: 1st, 2nd, 1st Profile: Mandella brings a filly in peak form. She’s a stalker with excellent turn‑time and a strong finishing punch. Strengths: Tactical speed, elite connections, sharp form Concerns: Needs clean trip between speed horses Projected Trip: Sits 2–3 lengths off leaders, pounces at the quarter pole
POST 4 — SANTA ANITA SKY
ML Odds: 15–1 Trainer: Peter Eurton Jockey: Joe Bravo Recent Finishes: 6th, 5th, 4th Profile: A longshot with inconsistent form. Has back‑class but hasn’t shown same kick this season. Strengths: Experience at the distance Concerns: Declining speed figures Projected Trip: Mid‑pack, needs major improvement
POST 5 — PACIFIC BLOSSOM
ML Odds: 9–2 Trainer: Carla Gaines Jockey: Flavien Prat Recent Finishes: 2nd, 1st, 1st Profile: A rising mare with two straight wins entering this stakes attempt. Prat is lethal in turf routes and excels with patient rides. Strengths: Consistency, elite jockey, strong late kick Concerns: First time at 10 furlongs Projected Trip: Settles mid‑pack, makes sustained late run
POST 6 — FLASHY TEMPTATION
ML Odds: 8–1 Trainer: Mark Glatt Jockey: Hector Berrios Recent Finishes: 3rd, 2nd, 4th Profile: A pace‑pressing mare with strong early fractions. Has been caught late in recent starts. Strengths: Early speed, strong first mile Concerns: Vulnerable late at 10 furlongs Projected Trip: Engages early duel with Post 7
POST 7 — GOLDEN VIRTUE
ML Odds: 3–1 (Morning Line Favorite) Trainer: Phil D’Amato Jockey: Kazushi Kimura Recent Finishes: 1st, 1st, 2nd Profile: The class of the field. Strong early speed, elite connections, and best recent turf speed figures. Strengths: Class edge, top trainer, pace control Concerns: Must ration energy over 10 furlongs Projected Trip: Breaks sharply, sits just off leaders, takes over late
PACE & RACE SHAPE ANALYSIS
Early Speed: Flashy Temptation (6), Golden Virtue (7)
Stalkers: Queen of the Green (3), Turf Goddess (1), Pacific Blossom (5)
Closers: Bella Tempesta (2), Santa Anita Sky (4)
Projected Pace: Moderate and controlled Beneficiaries: Stalkers sitting 2–4 lengths behind the leaders
BETTING TRENDS
Santa Anita 10F turf stakes favor stalkers and closers
D’Amato and Mandella dominate SoCal turf routes
Prat is the most reliable turf route jockey in California
Closers win 40% of 10F turf stakes at Santa Anita
Inside posts have slight advantage in long turf routes
FINAL PREDICTION
Winner: Queen of the Green (Post 3) Runner‑Up: Pacific Blossom (Post 5) Third: Golden Virtue (Post 7) Fourth: Turf Goddess (Post 1)
