Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
First Pitch: 7:15 PM PT
Probable Pitchers: CHC – Javier Assad (RHP) vs. SF – Nick Roupp (LHP)
Venue: Oracle Park — San Francisco, California
One of baseball’s most pitcher‑friendly parks, especially at night when the marine layer thickens and knocks down fly balls.
Park Factor (Runs): Bottom 5 in MLB
Home Run Factor: Deep alleys + heavy air suppress HRs, especially to right‑center
Dimensions: 339 LF, 364 LCF, 399 CF, 421 RCF (Triples Alley), 309 RF
Impact: Favors command pitchers and teams with strong outfield defense; left‑handed pull hitters get a slight boost toward the short porch in right.
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 58–61°F at first pitch
Wind: 12–16 mph out to right‑center, but marine layer offsets HR boost
Humidity: ~78%
Precipitation: 0%
Overall Impact: Classic Oracle Park under conditions — run suppression with occasional extra‑base hits into Triples Alley.
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki (Oblique) — Day‑to‑day, likely out
Dansby Swanson (Heel) — Probable
Christopher Morel (Wrist) — Questionable
Julian Merryweather (Back) — Out
Ben Brown (Elbow) — Out, rotation depth impacted
San Francisco Giants
Michael Conforto (Hamstring) — Out
Jung Hoo Lee (Shoulder) — Out for season
Patrick Bailey (Concussion) — Probable
Kyle Harrison (Forearm) — Out
LaMonte Wade Jr. (Back) — Day‑to‑day
Team Records & Recent Form
Chicago Cubs (35–34)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 16–18
Run Differential: +9
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but improving vs. LHP
Key Note: Cubs have won 3 of their last 4 series.
San Francisco Giants (28–41)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 15–20
Run Differential: –56
Trend: Offense struggling without Conforto/Wade; pitching depth thin
Key Note: Giants have lost 7 of their last 9 overall.
Pitching Matchup
CHC – Javier Assad (RHP)
A command‑driven righty with a deep pitch mix (cutter, sinker, slider, curve).
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.48
WHIP: 1.22
K/BB: 2.9
Road ERA: 3.31
Strengths: Soft‑contact machine; excellent vs. righties
Weaknesses: Occasional walk issues; can be hit by patient lefties
Matchup Outlook: Oracle Park suits him perfectly — fly‑ball suppression + Giants’ weak LH power.
SF – Nick Roupp (LHP)
A young left‑hander with a deceptive fastball and sweeping slider.
2026 Stats:
ERA: 4.62
WHIP: 1.34
K/BB: 2.6
Home ERA: 4.11
Strengths: Generates whiffs vs. righties; slider is legit
Weaknesses: Struggles with command; vulnerable to RH power
Matchup Outlook: Cubs’ right‑handed bats (Hoerner, Swanson, Bellinger if active) match up well.
Key Player Matchups
Cubs Hitters vs. Roupp
Cody Bellinger: Strong vs. LHP with power to right‑center
Dansby Swanson: Excellent vs. lefty sliders; prime RBI candidate
Nico Hoerner: Contact profile fits Oracle Park’s gaps
Giants Hitters vs. Assad
Thairo Estrada: Best matchup; handles cutters well
J.D. Davis: Power threat but inconsistent vs. soft‑contact pitchers
Heliot Ramos: Giants’ best chance for extra‑base damage
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Cubs lead 11–8
At Oracle Park: Cubs lead 6–4
Recent Trend: Cubs have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs
6–2 last 8 vs. losing teams
Under is 7–3 in last 10 road games
Cubs 5–1 last 6 Assad starts
San Francisco Giants
3–9 last 12 overall
Under is 8–3 in last 11 home games
Giants 2–8 last 10 vs. teams above .500
Head‑to‑Head
Under is 5–1 in last 6 meetings
Road team is 4–1 in last 5
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs 8
San Francisco Giants – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
