Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
Venue Information
Fenway Park Boston, MA
Capacity: 37,755
One of MLB’s most unique and hitter‑friendly parks
Green Monster in left field boosts right‑handed doubles
Pesky Pole in right field rewards left‑handed pull hitters
Outfield angles create unpredictable caroms and extra‑base opportunities
Historically boosts run scoring, especially in warm June weather
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 78–81°F at first pitch
Sky: Clear
Wind: 9–12 mph blowing out to left field
Humidity: ~58%
Chance of Rain: <5%
Impact:
Boost to right‑handed hitters
Leiter’s fastball may carry too much in the zone
Graya’s command‑first profile could be challenged by wind‑aided fly balls
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
SS Corey Seager — Probable (hand soreness)
3B Josh Jung — Out (wrist)
OF Evan Carter — Questionable (back tightness)
RP José Leclerc — Out (shoulder)
SP Max Scherzer — 60‑day IL (back)
Impact: Texas’ lineup is missing Jung’s right‑handed power, and the bullpen lacks late‑inning stability.
Boston Red Sox
3B Rafael Devers — Probable (quad tightness)
OF Tyler O’Neill — Out (hamstring)
C Connor Wong — Probable (knee)
RP Chris Martin — Out (elbow)
SP Nick Pivetta — Out (forearm)
Impact: Boston’s lineup is thinner without O’Neill, and bullpen depth is compromised without Martin.
Team Records & Recent Form
Texas Rangers (34–34)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 16–17
Strengths: Power, improved plate discipline, top‑end rotation talent
Weaknesses: Bullpen inconsistency, streaky offense
Trend: Playing their best baseball since mid‑May
Boston Red Sox (27–39)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 12–20
Strengths: Contact hitting, athletic outfield defense
Weaknesses: Starting pitching depth, bullpen reliability, lack of power
Trend: Struggling badly; averaging just 3.2 runs per game in June
Series History
2023–2025 Combined: Texas leads 10–7
At Fenway Park: Texas leads 6–4
Last Meeting: Texas won 2 of 3 in 2025
Trend: Rangers have won 5 of last 7 vs Boston
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Jack Leiter — RHP, Texas
2026 Stats: 4.09 ERA | 1.26 WHIP | 74 K | 25 BB Profile: Electric fastball/slider combo, high strikeout upside, still developing command. Strengths:
Generates whiffs up in the zone
Excellent vs right‑handed hitters
Strong road splits Concerns:
Fenway punishes elevated fastballs
Vulnerable to left‑handed pull hitters
Can unravel if pitch count spikes early
Slade Graya — RHP, Boston
2026 Stats: 4.44 ERA | 1.33 WHIP | 61 K | 19 BB Profile: Command‑first pitcher with cutter/curveball mix, relies on weak contact. Strengths:
Keeps ball on the ground
Effective vs aggressive lineups
Good at inducing double plays Concerns:
Texas lineup works deep counts
Wind blowing out to left hurts his fly‑ball misses
Struggles vs right‑handed power
Key Player Matchups
Corey Seager (TEX) vs Slade Graya
Seager crushes cutters and curveballs
Fenway’s left‑center gap suits his swing Edge: Seager
Adolis García (TEX) vs Graya
García’s pull power plays perfectly with wind to left
Graya’s misses tend to be middle‑in Edge: García
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs Jack Leiter
Devers destroys high fastballs
Leiter’s fastball is elite but hittable if elevated Edge: Devers
Jarren Duran (BOS) vs Leiter
Duran’s speed + Fenway’s angles = extra bases
Leiter struggles vs left‑handed contact hitters Edge: Duran
Betting Trends
Texas
5–1 in last 6 road games
6 of last 8 games have gone Over
4–1 in last 5 Leiter starts
Boston
2–8 in last 10 home games
7 straight Overs at Fenway
1–6 in last 7 games vs teams above .500
Matchup Trends
Overs are 6–2 in last 8 meetings
Texas has averaged 5.8 runs per game vs Boston since 2023
Boston has scored 4+ runs in 7 of last 10 vs Texas
Game Odds
Texas Rangers 8.5
Boston Red Sox – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, June 11, 2026
