loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
Venue Information
loanDepot Park 501 Marlins Way, Miami, FL
- Fully retractable roof — expected closed due to humidity
- Plays neutral to pitcher‑friendly when roof is closed
- Big outfield gaps reward line‑drive hitters
- Home run suppression increases in closed‑roof conditions
Weather Forecast (External — Minimal Impact Indoors)
- Temperature: 87–90°F
- Humidity: ~70%
- Wind: 8–12 mph
- Impact: Roof closed → neutral pitching environment, slight edge to contact hitters
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Ketel Marte — Probable (hamstring tightness)
- Corbin Carroll — Probable (wrist)
- Gabriel Moreno — OUT (thumb)
- Jordan Lawlar — OUT (shoulder)
- Paul Sewald — OUT (lat)
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (ankle)
- Jake Burger — OUT (oblique)
- Jesús Luzardo — OUT (elbow)
- A.J. Puk — OUT (back)
- Bryan De La Cruz — Probable (illness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks (34–33)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 17–17
- Trend:
- Offense heating up after slow May
- Kelly stabilizing rotation
- Bullpen shaky without Sewald
- Carroll showing signs of breaking out
Miami Marlins (33–35)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home Record: 18–16
- Trend:
- Offense inconsistent but dangerous when Chisholm is healthy
- Rotation thin due to injuries
- Bullpen improving but still unreliable
- Phillips showing strong command in recent outings
Series History
- Diamondbacks lead season series 2–1
- Arizona is 6–3 in last 9 vs Miami
- Marlins are 4–2 in last 6 at home vs Arizona
- Last meeting: Arizona won 4–2 behind strong pitching
Pitching Matchup
ARI — Merrill Kelly (RHP)
2026 Stats:
- Record: 5–4
- ERA: 3.66
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/BB: 68/19
Scouting Notes:
- Veteran command specialist
- Elite changeup vs left‑handed hitters
- Marlins struggle vs right‑handed changeups
- Key: Keeping Chisholm and De La Cruz off the bases
MIA — Trevor Phillips (LHP)
2026 Stats:
- Record: 3–3
- ERA: 4.12
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/BB: 52/17
Scouting Notes:
- Good fastball/slider mix
- Vulnerable to right‑handed power
- Diamondbacks’ righties (Walker, Marte, Gurriel) match up well
- Key: Early command — when Phillips walks hitters, innings unravel quickly
Key Player Matchups
Christian Walker (ARI) vs Trevor Phillips
- Walker hitting .298 vs left‑handed pitching
- Phillips struggles vs right‑handed power Advantage: Arizona
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs Kelly’s Changeup
- Chisholm hitting .219 vs right‑handed changeups
- Kelly’s changeup is his best pitch Advantage: Arizona
Ketel Marte (ARI) vs Marlins Bullpen
- Marte excels in late‑inning ABs
- Miami bullpen has been inconsistent Advantage: Arizona
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs Kelly’s Fastball
- De La Cruz hits high‑spin fastballs well
- Kelly must avoid middle‑middle heaters Advantage: Miami (slight)
Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks
- 6–2 in last 8 vs losing teams
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 road games
- Arizona is 5–1 in Kelly’s last 6 starts
- D‑Backs are 4–1 in last 5 at loanDepot Park
Miami Marlins
- 4–6 in last 10 home games
- Under is 6–4 in last 10
- Marlins are 2–5 in Phillips’ last 7 starts
- Miami is 3–7 in last 10 vs NL West
Game Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks 8.5
Miami Marlins – 131
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, June 10, 2026
