Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Surface: Natural Grass
Broadcast: NESN / MASN
Weather Update — Fenway Park
Temperature: 71–74°F at first pitch
Humidity: 68%
Wind: 9–13 mph blowing out to left field
Chance of Rain: <10%
Conditions: Warm, slightly hitter‑friendly
Impact: Fly balls to left field get a boost, and Fenway’s Green Monster becomes even more dangerous for right‑handed hitters.
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
C Adley Rutschman — Day‑to‑day (thumb)
OF Austin Hays — IL (hamstring)
SP Kyle Bradish — IL (elbow)
RP Danny Coulombe — IL (shoulder)
Impact: Baltimore’s lineup is less explosive without Hays, and the bullpen is thinner without Coulombe. Rutschman’s availability is crucial.
Boston Red Sox
3B Rafael Devers — IL (back)
SP Brayan Bello — IL (forearm)
RP Kenley Jansen — IL (hip)
OF Tyler O’Neill — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Impact: Boston’s offense is missing its anchor in Devers. Bullpen depth is compromised without Jansen.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Baltimore — RHP Shane Baz (Projected: 3–4, 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP)
Profile:
Electric fastball (96–98 mph)
Plus slider with late bite
Strong strikeout rate (10.4 K/9)
Occasional command lapses
Fly‑ball tendencies can be risky at Fenway
Matchup Notes: Boston’s right‑handed bats (Story, Duran from left side but hits righties well, Abreu) will test Baz’s fastball command.
Boston — RHP Chase Early (Projected: 2–5, 4.71 ERA, 1.38 WHIP)
Profile:
Sinker/slider righty
Generates ground balls (47%)
Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters (.289 avg allowed)
Vulnerable when behind in counts
Matchup Notes: Baltimore’s left‑handed bats (Henderson, Santander, Cowser) match up extremely well with Early’s sinker/slider mix.
Team Records & Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles (28–32)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 12–17
Runs/Game: 4.52
Team ERA: 4.39
Trend: Baltimore is inconsistent but competitive. Pitching has stabilized with Baz back in the rotation.
Boston Red Sox (25–33)
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 11–18
Runs/Game: 4.18
Team ERA: 4.66
Trend: Boston is struggling, especially offensively without Devers. Pitching has been unreliable in late innings.
Series History
2023–2026 Combined: Orioles lead 22–17
At Fenway Park: Orioles have won 6 of last 9
2026 Season: First meeting
Trend: Baltimore has handled Boston well in recent years.
Key Player Matchups
Orioles Hitters vs. Chase Early
Gunnar Henderson: 3-for-7 (.429), HR
Anthony Santander: 4-for-10 (.400), 2B
Jordan Westburg: 2-for-6 (.333), BB
Edge: Orioles — left‑handed bats should thrive.
Red Sox Hitters vs. Shane Baz
Trevor Story: 3-for-8 (.375), HR
Jarren Duran: 2-for-7 (.286), 3B
Triston Casas: 1-for-6 (.167), 3 K
Edge: Slight to Baz — Boston’s lineup is weakened without Devers.
Betting Trends
Baltimore
4–1 in last 5 Baz starts
6–2 in last 8 vs. AL East
Under is 5–2 in last 7 Orioles road games
Boston
2–6 in last 8 home games
1–5 in Early’s last 6 starts
Over is 7–3 in last 10 Red Sox games
Totals Trends
Fenway overs hit at 55% with wind blowing out
Both teams have bullpen issues
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Boston Red Sox – 135
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 1, 2026
