Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET / 10:35 AM PT
Broadcast: MASN / Sportsnet / MLB.TV
Probable Pitchers:
TOR: RHP Adam Miles (3–3, 4.28 ERA)
BAL: RHP Kyle Bradish (2–4, 3.77 ERA)
This is the finale of a tightly contested AL East series, with both clubs trying to climb back toward .500 and regain footing in a division that punishes slow starts.
VENUE & WEATHER CONDITIONS
Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, MD
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially to left‑center
Dimensions: 333 LF / 400 CF / 318 RF
Ballpark Impact: Boosts doubles and opposite‑field power
Weather Forecast (May 31, 2026)
Temperature: 81–84°F at first pitch
Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to left‑center
Humidity: 58%
Rain: <10%
Impact: Boost to right‑handed power, warm air = better carry
INJURY REPORT
Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette — OUT (knee)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Probable (hand soreness)
George Springer — Available
Kevin Gausman — OUT (shoulder)
Alejandro Kirk — Available
Toronto remains without Bichette, a major blow to their lineup depth.
Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman — Probable (thumb)
Gunnar Henderson — Available
Cedric Mullins — OUT (hamstring)
John Means — OUT (elbow)
Yennier Cano — Available
Baltimore’s offense is healthier than it was earlier in May, but Mullins’ absence still hurts their outfield defense and speed.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
TORONTO BLUE JAYS (29–30)
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Road Record: 13–16
Most Recent: Lost 4–3 to Baltimore (May 30)
Team Strengths
Strong right‑handed power
Improved bullpen (Swanson, Romano, Mayza)
Good defensive infield
Miles showing improved command
Team Weaknesses
Missing Bichette reduces OBP
Inconsistent run production
Rotation depth thin without Gausman
Struggles vs. elite breaking balls
BALTIMORE ORIOLES (27–32)
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Home Record: 14–15
Most Recent: Won 4–3 vs. Toronto
Team Strengths
Strong young core (Henderson, Rutschman, Westburg)
Bradish pitching well despite limited run support
Good bullpen back end (Coulombe, Cano)
Excellent team speed
Team Weaknesses
Missing Mullins reduces lineup balance
High strikeout rate
Inconsistent middle relief
Defense has regressed slightly
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
TOR — RHP ADAM MILES
2026 Stats: 3–3, 4.28 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 17.0 IP, 9 ER, 15 K, 6 BB
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam (45%)
Slider (30%)
Changeup (15%)
Curveball (10%)
Matchup Notes
Orioles hit four‑seamers well
Miles’ slider must be sharp vs. Henderson + Rutschman
Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters (O’Hearn, Cowser)
Warm weather increases HR risk
Edge: Orioles lineup
BAL — RHP KYLE BRADISH
2026 Stats: 2–4, 3.77 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
Last 3 Starts: 18.1 IP, 7 ER, 20 K, 4 BB
Pitch Mix:
Slider (38%)
Four‑seam (30%)
Curveball (20%)
Changeup (12%)
Matchup Notes
Blue Jays struggle vs. elite sliders
Bradish’s command trending upward
Guerrero + Springer match up well vs. his fastball
Bradish must avoid early HR damage
Edge: Bradish
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Kyle Bradish
Guerrero vs. sliders: .271 AVG / .488 SLG
Bradish’s slider is elite Advantage: Bradish (slightly)
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Adam Miles
Henderson vs. four‑seamers: .309 AVG / .590 SLG
Wind blowing out to left‑center Advantage: Henderson
Adley Rutschman (BAL) vs. Miles
Rutschman vs. right‑handers: .298 AVG / .515 SLG
Perfect matchup for his line‑drive profile Advantage: Rutschman
SERIES HISTORY
Last 3 Seasons (2024–2026)
Blue Jays lead 18–16
At Camden Yards: Orioles lead 9–8
Average combined runs: 8.9 per game
2026 Season Series
Tied 1–1 (5–4 TOR, 4–3 BAL)
BETTING TRENDS
Toronto Blue Jays
4–2 in last 6 road games
Under is 5–3 in last 8
3–6 in last 9 vs. AL East
Baltimore Orioles
5–2 in last 7 home games
Over is 4–2 in last 6
4–1 in last 5 vs. losing teams
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Under is 5–2 in last 7 meetings
Road team is 4–1 in last 5 matchups
Game Odds
Toronto Blue Jays 8
Baltimore Orioles – 120
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 30, 2026
