First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Probable Pitchers: RHP Michael McGreevy (STL) vs. RHP Tyler Harrison (MIL)
Venue Profile — American Family Field
- Location: Milwaukee, WI
- Roof: Expected CLOSED (forecast cool + chance of showers)
- Dimensions: LF 342 ft, CF 400 ft, RF 345 ft
- Park Factor: One of the most hitter-friendly domes in MLB
- Notes:
- Closed roof boosts carry to left-center.
- Right-handed power plays extremely well here.
Weather Forecast
Roof expected closed — minimal weather impact on gameplay.
- Outside Temperature: 63°F
- Wind: 10–14 mph from the west
- Humidity: 62%
- Precipitation: 30% chance of light rain
- Impact:
- With the roof closed, conditions favor consistent offense and stable pitching mechanics.
- Ball tends to jump in this park under dome conditions.
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
- Nolan Arenado — Day-to-day (back stiffness)
- Tommy Edman — 10‑day IL (wrist)
- Lars Nootbaar — 15‑day IL (oblique)
- Giovanny Gallegos — 60‑day IL (shoulder)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich — Day-to-day (knee soreness)
- Brice Turang — 10‑day IL (ankle)
- Robert Gasser — 60‑day IL (elbow)
- Trevor Megill — 15‑day IL (forearm)
Team Records & Recent Form
St. Louis Cardinals (29–23)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 13–12
- Run Differential: +14
- Trend: Pitching improving; offense inconsistent without Nootbaar and Edman.
Milwaukee Brewers (31–20)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Home Record: 17–9
- Run Differential: +33
- Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; lineup depth carrying them.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
STL — RHP Michael McGreevy
- 2026 Stats: 4.11 ERA | 1.28 WHIP | 6.9 K/9
- Profile:
- Pitch-to-contact righty with heavy sinker usage.
- Relies on ground balls; struggles when forced up in the zone.
- Vulnerable to power-heavy lineups in hitter-friendly parks.
- Matchup Notes:
- Brewers are top‑10 in MLB in hard-hit rate vs. sinkers.
- American Family Field is a bad matchup for his fly-ball tendencies when behind in counts.
MIL — RHP Tyler Harrison
- 2026 Stats: 3.32 ERA | 1.17 WHIP | 10.4 K/9
- Profile:
- Power righty with elite swing-and-miss slider.
- Generates strikeouts in bunches; struggles occasionally with walks.
- Excellent at home (2.71 ERA at American Family Field).
- Matchup Notes:
- Cardinals’ lineup is right-handed heavy, which plays into Harrison’s strengths.
- STL struggles vs. high-spin breaking balls.
Key Player Matchups
Cardinals Hitters vs. Harrison
- Paul Goldschmidt: Still dangerous vs. RHP but declining vs. elite velocity.
- Willson Contreras: Good vs. sliders; potential RBI threat.
- Jordan Walker: Power bat but high K-rate vs. high-spin arms.
Brewers Hitters vs. McGreevy
- William Contreras: Elite vs. sinkers; HR candidate.
- Rhys Hoskins: Perfect matchup for his uppercut swing.
- Sal Frelick: Contact hitter who thrives vs. pitch-to-contact arms.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Brewers won 10–9.
- 2026 Season (so far): Brewers lead 2–1.
- At American Family Field (last 3 years): Brewers 17–12.
- Trend: Milwaukee consistently out-hits St. Louis in this park.
Betting Trends
St. Louis Cardinals
- Under is 6–2 in last 8 road games
- Cardinals 2–5 in last 7 vs. winning teams
- McGreevy starts: Over is 5–2 in his last 7
Milwaukee Brewers
- 7–1 in last 8 home games
- Brewers 10–3 in last 13 vs. NL Central
- Harrison starts: Brewers 8–2 in his last 10
Head-to-Head
- Brewers 6–2 in last 8 meetings
- Over is 7–3 in last 10 at American Family Field
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 8
Milwaukee Brewers – 170
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 25, 2026
